Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,026.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

93% winner buying Yes

Surfacing despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a strong resolved track record and made a meaningful $3.7k Yes buy on a relatively quiet Eurovision market.

This bettor has won 93% of resolved bets and is up $12.3k lifetime.
They put $3.7k on Yes at 88¢, larger than the market’s reported 24h volume in the signal.
The market has only $24k liquidity, so this is a meaningful conviction add in a niche event market.

$3,696 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

94% winner on Eurovision

Sharp profitable wallet with a 94% resolved-bet win rate is adding a correlated Eurovision position despite modest market activity.

This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up about $48k lifetime.
They have placed over $5.1k across 3 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
Entry at 85¢ is high, but this wallet’s track record makes the position worth following.

$1,132 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable Eurovision contrarian

A profitable high-volume wallet is taking a contrarian No position in a thin Eurovision market while also positioning across related Eurovision markets.

This bettor has won 540 resolved markets and is up $163K lifetime.
They sold $3.2K of Yes, effectively backing No around 19¢ in a thin market.
This wallet has been active across 3 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.

$3,198 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

0x22d3...5e3a — Outcome 42254147, $17,206 (54% win rate)
0xd34b...0004 — Outcome 42254147, $5,047 (95% win rate)
0x0336...4bb0 — Outcome 42254147, $4,390 (95% win rate)
0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 42254147, $3,802 (83% win rate)
0x7b17...51b1 — Outcome 42254147, $2,779
0x4eef...3fcb — Outcome 42254147, $2,629 (80% win rate)
0x588d...099a — Outcome 42254147, $1,380 (25% win rate)
0x4f07...0170 — Outcome 42254147, $1,313 (87% win rate)
0x16cb...2704 — Outcome 42254147, $1,166 (76% win rate)
0x168a...da29 — Outcome 42254147, $1,008

Related Theses

Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026

Covers 4 related markets

Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls

Covers 2 related markets

Georgia out, Moldova Serbia advance

Covers 3 related markets

Greece wins Eurovision over Denmark

Covers 2 related markets

Australia wins Eurovision 2026

Covers 3 related markets

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 10$8,026 tracked3 signalsMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “Yes”

94¢

85¢

76¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction