Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,673.

Categories: Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50, Culture

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet buying YES

A young profitable wallet is adding a meaningful YES bet into strong upward momentum on an active Elon tweet-count market.

This 22-day-old wallet is already up $11.9k and has made $22.2k in flagged large bets.
It bought $3.2k of Yes at 70¢ while the market has jumped 36 points in the last day.
The wallet also has positions across 2 related markets, suggesting a broader view on the tweet count.

$3,176 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%

Profitable new wallet buying Yes

A young repeat-flagged wallet with positive early P&L is adding a $4.3k Yes position into strong market momentum, though the track record is still limited.

This 22-day-old wallet is already up $11.9k and has now been flagged 5 times for large bets.
They bought $4.3k of Yes at an average around 69¢ as the market moved up 36 points in the last day.
The same wallet is positioned across 2 related Elon tweet-count markets, suggesting a broader thesis.

$4,295 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%

Profitable new wallet buying Yes

A young wallet with repeat large-bet flags and strong early profits is adding Yes exposure into a fast-moving market, though the current trade is modest relative to liquidity.

This 22-day-old wallet is already up $11.9K and has been flagged on $19K of prior large bets.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 34 points in the last day and 61 points this week.
Entry at 65¢ suggests the bettor is still willing to add despite Yes already trading near 66¢.

$1,119 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,083 | Wallet win rate: 12%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 33718604, $268,630
0xa638...1d87 — Outcome 33718604, $12,396 (54% win rate)
0x36e7...0b6b — Outcome 33718604, $3,096
0xdaba...23f5 — Outcome 33718604, $2,773
0xc3c2...7f1a — Outcome 33718604, $2,524
0x2ed5...72a6 — Outcome 33718604, $2,500
0xba8b...62fd — Outcome 33718604, $2,485
0xbfb5...3f64 — Outcome 33718604, $2,026
0x97ff...d095 — Outcome 33718604, $1,189 (73% win rate)
0xe133...6994 — Outcome 33718604, $1,165

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Musk posts outside 80-179

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Musk tweets land midrange

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?$9,673 tracked4 signalsPoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50Culture

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.