Part of: Peru Presidential Election Runoff: JNE certifies results by…?

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,968.

Categories: Elections, Peru Election, Peru, Global Elections, fraud

Notable Trades

Quiet-market political buyer

A profitable high-volume wallet made a fresh Yes bet worth nearly 6x the market’s daily volume on a quiet Peru election-certification market.

This bettor put $1.4K on Yes in a market that had only $241 of volume in the prior 24 hours.
The wallet is profitable overall, up $77K across a very large trading history.
Entry at 52¢ suggests they see meaningful upside from an evenly priced market.

$1,553 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

Quiet-market political buyer

A profitable high-volume wallet made a fresh Yes bet worth nearly 6x the market’s daily volume on a quiet Peru election-certification market.

This bettor put $1.4K on Yes in a market that had only $241 of volume in the prior 24 hours.
The wallet is profitable overall, up $77K across a very large trading history.
Entry at 52¢ suggests they see meaningful upside from an evenly priced market.

$1,415 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

Top Holders

0xb766...1d83 — Outcome 57362621, $1,220 (53% win rate)
0x6f67...102c — Outcome 57362621, $216
0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 57362621, $100
0x60a8...7d37 — Outcome 57362621, $89
0xf2fa...4a62 — Outcome 57362621, $53 (42% win rate)
0x126e...c360 — Outcome 57362621, $50
0xc66b...02aa — Outcome 57362621, $44
0x3d60...6df2 — Outcome 57362621, $39
0xbe0e...d429 — Outcome 57362621, $33
0x2712...eb71 — Outcome 57362621, $25

Related Theses

Durable goods outside zero to six

Covers 3 related markets

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

ResolvedPeru Presidential Election Runoff: JNE certifies results by…?$2,968 tracked2 signalsElectionsPeru ElectionPeruGlobal Electionsfraud

The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Jury of Elections of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) publishes a proclamation of election results (proclamación de resultados) for the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are invalidated or annulled, or a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election, this market will resolve to "No". Any official proclamation from the JNE which specifies the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections will qualify for the purposes of this market. An example from 2021 can be found here: https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf. The primary resolution source will be information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE.