Part of: Peru Presidential Election Runoff: JNE certifies results by…?

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

This prediction market asks whether Peru’s National Jury of Elections (JNE) will publish the official proclamation of results for the second round of the 2026 presidential election by July 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The runoff was held on June 7, 2026, and the market resolves Yes if the JNE certifies the results by the deadline, otherwise No. PolySpotter is tracking $1,553 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Jury of Elections of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) publishes a proclamation of election results (proclamación de resultados) for the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are invalidated or annulled, or a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election, this market will resolve to "No". Any official proclamation from the JNE which specifies the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections will qualify for the purposes of this market. An example from 2021 can be found here: https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf. The primary resolution source will be information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,968.

Categories: Elections, Peru Election, Peru, Global Elections, fraud

Notable Trades

Quiet-market political buyer

A profitable high-volume wallet made a fresh Yes bet worth nearly 6x the market’s daily volume on a quiet Peru election-certification market.

  • This bettor put $1.4K on Yes in a market that had only $241 of volume in the prior 24 hours.
  • The wallet is profitable overall, up $77K across a very large trading history.
  • Entry at 52¢ suggests they see meaningful upside from an evenly priced market.

$1,553 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 39%

Quiet-market political buyer

A profitable high-volume wallet made a fresh Yes bet worth nearly 6x the market’s daily volume on a quiet Peru election-certification market.

  • This bettor put $1.4K on Yes in a market that had only $241 of volume in the prior 24 hours.
  • The wallet is profitable overall, up $77K across a very large trading history.
  • Entry at 52¢ suggests they see meaningful upside from an evenly priced market.

$1,415 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 39%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb7dd...e5e4 Yes, $2,269
  2. 0xb766...1d83 No, $1,220 (52% win rate)
  3. 0x6b60...9c7e Yes, $1,082 (44% win rate)
  4. 0x1ee9...197f No, $805 (69% win rate)
  5. 0x0bb6...9a46 Yes, $588
  6. 0xb1ca...1705 No, $450 (61% win rate)
  7. 0x7495...7fcf No, $385
  8. 0x29d3...b2ed Yes, $363 (59% win rate)
  9. 0xce78...4bcc Yes, $338 (80% win rate)
  10. 0xb41e...11fd No, $274

Related Theses

Tread FDV stays below $40M

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Durable goods outside zero to six

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JNE certifies in July

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Starships will dock by 2026

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Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

14dPeru Presidential Election Runoff: JNE certifies results by…?$2,968 tracked2 signalsElectionsPeru ElectionPeruGlobal Electionsfraud
Yes
99¢
No
1¢

The second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections were held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Jury of Elections of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) publishes a proclamation of election results (proclamación de resultados) for the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections are invalidated or annulled, or a new general election or runoff is officially scheduled by the relevant Peruvian authorities by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, in a manner that explicitly supersedes or replaces the June 7, 2026, election, this market will resolve to "No". Any official proclamation from the JNE which specifies the results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections will qualify for the purposes of this market. An example from 2021 can be found here: https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal_documentos/files/637a2dda-73ba-4abc-95bf-294f14d454bb.pdf. The primary resolution source will be information from the Peruvian government, including the JNE.

Price History — “Yes
101¢
92¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

15d ago

$1,553 on Yes at 52¢

52¢99¢47¢

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

16d ago

$1,415 on Yes at 52¢

52¢99¢47¢

Related Theses