Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,867.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor caught wrong-side move
Sharp tennis bettor with an 85% record bought Cerundolo at 33¢, though the position appears to have gone to zero after a major move against it.
- This bettor has won 85% of resolved trades and is up $8.9K on $36K invested.
- Entry at 33¢ showed a meaningful underdog stance before the market moved heavily the other way.
- Caution: current odds show Cerundolo at 0%, so this looks like a sharp bettor’s losing position rather than a live copy opportunity.
$1,200 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp contrarian tennis cluster
Four wallets flipped into Francisco Cerundolo against the current 10% price, led by one 92% winner, but much of the flow was selling Musetti after earlier gains.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades bought Francisco Cerundolo at 33¢ despite the market now pricing him near 10¢.
- Four wallets put $12.8K on the same Cerundolo side during a 17.5x volume spike.
- Some of the size came from selling earlier Musetti positions, so the signal is partly profit-taking rather than purely fresh conviction.
$12,774 on Francisco Cerundolo
85% winner caught early move
Proven high-volume sports bettor with an 85% historical win rate bought Musetti at 76¢ before a fast move to 90¢, alongside a volume spike and price momentum.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $679K lifetime.
- They bought Musetti at 76¢ before the market quickly moved to 90¢.
- This wallet has traded 170 events with an 85% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$1,196 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 87%
Repeat new wallet chasing move
A repeat new wallet bought Musetti amid a large pre-match volume surge and rapid 17-point move, though the wallet’s track record is still very limited.
- A new repeat bettor has already put $2.7K into flagged positions and is currently up $2.3K on limited history.
- Musetti’s odds jumped 17 points in 4 minutes, with this buy coming into strong upward momentum.
- Market volume is running 17x above normal before the match, suggesting broader money is piling in.
$1,613 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 51%
Sharp contrarian sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 83% resolved win rate sold Musetti despite the market moving up, implying a contrarian Cerundolo view.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $420K lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $1.9M deployed across 1,225 markets.
- Selling Musetti at 59¢ converts to buying Cerundolo at 41¢, a contrarian position versus the current 36¢ market price.
$1,472 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 83%
80% winner fading spike
Proven 80% winner and serial cross-market trader is taking the Cerundolo side after a sharp Musetti price jump, suggesting a contrarian fade by a strong tennis/sports bettor.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $87.9K lifetime.
- They have traded across 98 events with an 80% record, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Selling Musetti at 59¢ converts to buying Cerundolo around 41¢ after a fast 17-point Musetti price move.
$1,691 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp cluster buying Musetti
Six wallets put $22K on Musetti amid a 29x volume spike and sharp price move, including two highly profitable serial sports traders with 80%+ win rates.
- Two proven bettors in this cluster win 80%+ of resolved trades and are up about $510K combined.
- Six wallets all backed Musetti for $22K, driving him from roughly 32¢ to the mid-50s.
- Volume is 29x above normal, suggesting a strong pre-match move rather than routine betting.
$22,144 on Lorenzo Musetti
91% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp tennis bettor with a 91% historical win rate bought Musetti at 53¢ amid a volume spike and rapid price move, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $123.7K lifetime.
- They bought Musetti during a 17.5x volume spike and a fast 17-point price move.
- Market has moved against their 53¢ entry to about 34¢, so this is now a cheaper follow than the original trade.
$2,715 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 96%
79% winner backs Cerundolo
Surfacing because this is a highly experienced serial cross-market tennis/sports trader with a 79% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit making a fresh $5k buy on Cerundolo.
- This bettor has won 79% of 811 resolved bets and is up about $348k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with over $3.2M in detected positioning across 649 events.
- The $5k entry at 50¢ implies a near-even matchup where they prefer Cerundolo despite a liquid market.
$5,000 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp wallet backs underdog
Surface: coordinated Cerundolo-side flow is led by a 92% winning wallet, though two larger sells are partly profit-taking from earlier Musetti positions.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades bought Cerundolo at 33¢, with $9.3K profit on $33.9K invested.
- Three wallets put $11K on the same Cerundolo side as market volume spiked 25x before the match.
- The signal is mixed because two larger trades were selling earlier Musetti positions for profit, not fresh Cerundolo buys.
$11,034 on Francisco Cerundolo
Top Holders
- 0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 60695561, $9,982 (82% win rate)
- 0x6b91...06c4 — Outcome 60695561, $6,928 (95% win rate)
- 0xb24a...e29b — Outcome 60695561, $5,494
- 0x39fa...9869 — Outcome 60695561, $5,000
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 60695561, $4,307 (63% win rate)
- 0x43eb...cf57 — Outcome 60695561, $3,637 (88% win rate)
- 0x9c87...2e1c — Outcome 60695561, $3,625 (81% win rate)
- 0x6c8d...17a2 — Outcome 60695561, $3,280 (85% win rate)
- 0xff81...44c9 — Outcome 60695561, $2,910 (57% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 60695561, $2,473 (72% win rate)
