Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 16 - May 18, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
This Polymarket market asks whether Elon Musk will make 40 to 64 qualifying X posts between May 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET and May 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Qualifying activity includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless surfaced on the main feed by the tracker. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,055 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including recent Yes buying from an 88% winner; the market resolves on May 18, 2026 at 16:00 UTC.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,055.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
88% winner buying Yes
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 88% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes at 58¢ despite the alert's low composite score.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $4,558 lifetime.
- They bought $2.1K of Yes at 58¢ as the market moved up 12 points today.
- Entry at 58¢ implies they see value despite Yes already being the favorite.
$2,055 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $31,024
- 0xb796...58a8 — Yes, $10,000
- 0x1cb5...899d — Yes, $3,514 (88% win rate)
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Yes, $2,300
- 0x2924...dcde — Yes, $1,500
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $1,220 (17% win rate)
- 0xaee7...37fe — Yes, $1,104
- 0xe7de...537a — Yes, $1,100
- 0x4227...e72a — Yes, $1,036
- 0x732f...201e — Yes, $1,000
