Part of: Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $121,292.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying collapsed underdog
High-scoring 11-wallet cluster bought $45k of Mirra Andreeva, including two very strong sports/event traders, though the market has moved sharply against them to 8¢.
- 11 wallets put $45k on the same side, a strong coordinated bet on Mirra Andreeva.
- Two participating bettors stand out: one wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $2.1M, while another wins 99% across 81 bets.
- The price has collapsed to 8¢ after many entries at 30–43¢, making this a high-risk rebound thesis at a much cheaper level.
$44,979 on Mirra Andreeva
80% winner hit Kostyuk
A highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor and serial cross-market trader bought Marta Kostyuk at 60¢ before the market moved to 100¢, but the trade is likely no longer copyable at current odds.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.24M lifetime.
- They have traded across 203 events with an 80% hit rate, making this a strong sports-trader signal.
- They bought Marta Kostyuk at 60¢ and the market is now 100¢, so the edge appears to have already played out.
$1,480 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 80%
94% winner backs Kostyuk
Elite 94% win-rate wallet bought Marta Kostyuk alongside one-sided cluster flow, a volume spike, and major price impact.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $668K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $26.7K total, pushing Kostyuk up 22 percentage points.
- Entry at 53¢ is now around 50¢, offering a slightly better price than the sharp paid.
$4,667 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 93%
91% winner joins Kostyuk flow
Elite 91% sports bettor joined a one-sided Kostyuk move alongside 5 wallets and a volume spike, making this worth monitoring despite the price pulling back.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $26.7K on Kostyuk.
- The trader paid 67¢, while the market is now near 50¢, offering a cheaper follow-in than their entry.
$1,082 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 92%
5-wallet Kostyuk push
Coordinated Kostyuk buying from 5 wallets plus a profitable 76% winner makes this worth watching despite the price retracing from the bettor's 69¢ entry to 50¢.
- Five wallets bought the same side, putting $26.7k behind Marta Kostyuk.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $15.9k lifetime.
- Kostyuk briefly surged 22 points, but the market has retraced to 50¢, offering a much cheaper entry than this wallet paid.
$1,100 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 78%
94% winner caught Kostyuk move
Elite 94% win-rate sports bettor bought Kostyuk at 51¢ before a major move to 70¢, with strong cross-market history and volume spike corroboration.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $668K lifetime.
- They bought Marta Kostyuk at 51¢ before the market moved to 70¢.
- This wallet has traded 126 events with the same 94% win rate, suggesting a strong sports edge.
$3,593 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 93%
7-wallet underdog cluster
High-score coordinated flow: 7 wallets put $29.2k on Mirra Andreeva at underdog prices, including linked wallets and one bettor with a 91% record.
- Seven wallets are all backing the same underdog side with $29.2k total.
- One wallet in the group has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up $32.7k.
- The largest order was $10k at 30¢, implying a potential 3.3x payout if this side wins.
$29,182 on Mirra Andreeva
Profitable sports sharp buying Kostyuk
Highly profitable sports bettor with an 80% record and extensive cross-market history bought Kostyuk before a sharp move from 44% to 52%.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime.
- They have traded across 92 events with $2.2M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought Marta Kostyuk at 44¢ before the market moved to 52¢.
$1,100 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable whale backing Kostyuk
A highly profitable 80% winner put most of a $17.6k Kostyuk cluster into a tennis market seeing a major pre-event volume spike, though there is some opposing Andreeva flow.
- The lead bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime.
- They put about $15.1k on Kostyuk at 44¢, driving most of the cluster’s $17.6k position.
- Market volume is surging 62.8x above normal ahead of the match, suggesting this price is drawing serious attention.
$17,553 on Marta Kostyuk
4-wallet Mirra buying wave
High composite from coordinated Mirra buying plus a 63x volume spike, though the featured wallet’s negative lifetime P&L makes this more of a flow/momentum signal than a proven-sharp bettor.
- Four wallets bought Mirra the same way, totaling $17.2K in one-sided flow.
- Market volume jumped 63x above its historical pace, suggesting sudden positioning before the match.
- Entry at 57¢ is close to current odds and implies a modest edge if the buying wave is informed.
$3,000 on Mirra Andreeva | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 19470149, $25,000 (63% win rate)
- 0xf6de...95e8 — Outcome 19470149, $14,200 (51% win rate)
- 0x0165...8235 — Outcome 19470149, $13,682 (95% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 19470149, $12,916 (58% win rate)
- 0x7d4d...8525 — Outcome 19470149, $12,416 (98% win rate)
- 0x4f75...af7e — Outcome 19470149, $12,281 (80% win rate)
- 0xc181...6e97 — Outcome 19470149, $9,649 (64% win rate)
- 0x4698...d7a5 — Outcome 19470149, $6,912 (100% win rate)
- 0x13ce...35f0 — Outcome 19470149, $6,364
- 0x6eb5...8353 — Outcome 19470149, $5,940
