Part of: Paraguay vs. France

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 4, 2026 If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,238.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

92% winner backs favorite

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 92% resolved win rate with positive lifetime P&L and is buying France despite only a modest single-trade signal.

  • This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets and is up $35,687 lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at 68¢ on average, so a 92% hit rate suggests real edge beyond just buying favorites.
  • They bought France at 83¢ in a liquid market, implying confidence that the current odds are still too low.

$1,238 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

95% winner buying favorite

Surface despite low composite score because this is a proven sharp sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying France Yes.

  • This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved bets and is up $5.4k lifetime.
  • They are putting $3k on France at 83¢, backing a high-confidence favorite.
  • Their past wins came at much lower average odds, suggesting the record is not just from buying heavy favorites.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x705d...0a1e Yes, $108,760 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 No, $79,503 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x0346...52a5 No, $72,651 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x9703...69c2 No, $18,307
  5. 0x2320...4869 Yes, $16,840 (35% win rate)
  6. 0x86ba...5aa0 Yes, $11,839
  7. 0x0343...f2dc Yes, $9,981 (92% win rate)
  8. 0x7ea5...de7b No, $9,131 (61% win rate)
  9. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $7,286
  10. 0xe472...e7eb Yes, $7,000 (82% win rate)

Related Theses

Croatia advances, Ecuador and Qatar exit

Covers 3 related markets

Colombia Portugal reach semifinals

Covers 4 related markets

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

2dParaguay vs. France$4,238 tracked2 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames
Yes
83¢
No
18¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 4, 2026 If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
85¢
83¢
81¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

5h ago

$1,238 on Yes at 83¢

83¢83¢

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

15h ago

$3,000 on Yes at 83¢

83¢83¢

Related Theses