Part of: Elon Musk # tweets July 14 - July 21, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,143.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

16-wallet funded No cluster

A 16-wallet funded cluster is backing No, with a sharp volume surge and price move, although this wallet is adding to an existing position rather than making a fresh bet.

This wallet is part of a 16-wallet cluster sharing the same funder, a strong coordinated-conviction signal.
No rose 20.69% amid a 174x historical volume spike, suggesting substantial recent positioning.
The bettor is adding to an existing No position at 90¢; its 64% win rate and $42,000 profit provide supportive but not elite track-record evidence.

$1,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Proven sharp scaling into Yes

A proven bettor with a 79% win rate and $44,924 profit is adding to an existing Yes position at 33%, indicating meaningful conviction despite the modest alert score.

This bettor has won 79% of 28 resolved positions and is up $44,924.
They are adding $1,343 to an existing $4,453 Yes position at 33%, rather than merely opening a small trade.
The 33¢ entry implies they view the 140–159 tweet range as substantially more likely than the market’s 32% estimate.

$1,343 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 64676084, $138,702
0x8565...0c43 — Outcome 64676084, $5,000 (82% win rate)
0xef0d...8733 — Outcome 64676084, $4,750
0x3653...ef74 — Outcome 64676084, $3,880
0x2ea8...ffcf — Outcome 34238745, $3,000
0x6fd6...200f — Outcome 64676084, $2,625
0xde03...e629 — Outcome 64676084, $2,523
0x7b73...c441 — Outcome 64676084, $2,500 (76% win rate)
0xc5f5...e714 — Outcome 64676084, $2,010 (45% win rate)
0x7505...2978 — Outcome 64676084, $1,402 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets July 14 - July 21, 2026?$3,143 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 14 12:00 PM ET to July 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

91¢

58¢

25¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction