Part of: UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,714.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

New wallet caught UFC steam

A new wallet bought Louie Sutherland at 88¢ during a sharp UFC line move backed by a 24.5x volume spike, though the wallet has limited track record.

  • Louie Sutherland moved 34 points after this buy, with the trade entering at 88¢ before the market reached 100¢.
  • Market activity spiked 24.5x above normal, suggesting broader one-sided demand before the fight resolves.
  • The wallet is only 10 days old and already has 7 positions, but its resolved record is still limited at 3 wins and 2 losses.

$1,150 on Louie Sutherland | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp 7-wallet Tai cluster

Coordinated 7-wallet cluster with multiple profitable bettors bought nearly $30k of Tai, though the market has since moved sharply against them to 9%.

  • Seven wallets bought $29.7k of Tai, including two bettors who win 79% of resolved trades.
  • Several wallets share funders, suggesting this is coordinated flow rather than random betting.
  • Tai has crashed to 9¢ after their 47–73¢ entries, making this a high-risk contrarian copy at a much cheaper price.

$29,724 on Tai Tuivasa

96% sports sharp cluster

Highly proven sports wallet with a 96% record, linked-wallet support, and a major pre-event odds move bought Louie Sutherland before the market jumped.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $262,875 lifetime.
  • Six funded wallets are aligned here, adding to confidence behind the Louie Sutherland side.
  • The buy came at 54¢ before Louie surged to 84¢, so the edge may already be partly priced in.

$5,640 on Louie Sutherland | Wallet win rate: 95%

82% winner backs favorite

Proven profitable sports bettor with an 82% record and strong edge bought $6.2k of Tai Tuivasa at 69¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $176.8k lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 53¢, suggesting they have beaten market odds before.
  • A $6.2k buy at 69¢ backs Tai Tuivasa despite the market already moving up 4% today.

$6,200 on Tai Tuivasa | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6c04...fe01 Outcome 11165907, $12,900 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x87b6...4aba Outcome 11165907, $9,000 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xc3f2...1a4d Outcome 11165907, $5,000
  4. 0x8982...59fb Outcome 11165907, $4,101 (81% win rate)
  5. 0x05a7...42e6 Outcome 11165907, $3,505 (96% win rate)
  6. 0x20a8...f004 Outcome 11165907, $3,012 (80% win rate)
  7. 0xb45d...a406 Outcome 11165907, $2,505
  8. 0xe10b...f230 Outcome 11165907, $1,222
  9. 0x8cee...0d1e Outcome 11165907, $1,065 (38% win rate)
  10. 0xc092...0cd9 Outcome 11165907, $1,009 (41% win rate)

Related Theses

Spain wins four nil

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Manchester City will win

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UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Tai Tuivasa" if Tai Tuivasa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Louie Sutherland at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Louie Sutherland" if Louie Sutherland is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)

45d ago

$1,150 on Louie Sutherland at 88¢

UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)

45d ago

$29,724 on Tai Tuivasa at 68¢

UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)

45d ago

$5,640 on Louie Sutherland at 54¢

UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)

45d ago

$6,200 on Tai Tuivasa at 69¢

Related Theses