Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $156,635.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
New profitable tennis wallet
New 4-day-old wallet with early profit is repeatedly betting Medvedev, alongside a pre-event volume spike and rapid price move upward.
- A 4-day-old wallet with early profit is making repeat bets, now buying $1,400 of Medvedev at 80¢.
- The market saw a 25x volume spike and Medvedev’s price jumped 13 points in 5 minutes.
- Entry at 80¢ is just below the current 82% odds, suggesting the bettor is still backing the favorite with conviction.
$1,400 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable wallets backing underdog
Three profitable wallets are collectively taking the underdog side against Medvedev, but the signal is moderate because the size is small relative to market liquidity and price has moved against them.
- Three wallets are all taking the same underdog side, totaling $6.3K on Tirante.
- The largest bettor has a 67% record and is up $223K lifetime on Polymarket.
- Current price around 14¢ is below their roughly 19¢ average entry.
$6,316 on Thiago Agustin Tirante
Pre-match favorite momentum
Surfaced mainly for market momentum: a serial sports trader bought Medvedev into a 25x volume spike and a rapid 13-point move, though the wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.
- A serial event trader with 250 resolved bets bought Medvedev at 82¢.
- This market saw a 25x volume spike and Medvedev jumped 13 points in 5 minutes.
- The trade follows strong pre-match momentum rather than a proven profitable wallet edge.
$2,000 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 53%
83% winner on momentum
A profitable 83% win-rate bettor bought Medvedev as volume spiked and the price moved sharply upward, making this a follow-worthy sports trade despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $3.7K lifetime.
- They bought Medvedev at 80¢ during a 25x pre-match volume spike.
- Medvedev’s price jumped 13 points in 5 minutes, matching the bettor’s direction.
$3,240 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 84%
Perfect-record tennis whale
A perfect-record sports bettor with large lifetime profit bought Medvedev before a sharp move from 59% to 80%, supported by a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is 22-for-22 on resolved trades and is up $544K lifetime.
- They put $11.2K on Medvedev at 59%, before the market moved to 80%.
- Volume spiked 66x above normal, with Medvedev’s price jumping 21 percentage points.
$11,182 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven tennis sharp buying favorite
A proven 79% winner with $136k profit and a long cross-market history bought $4k of Medvedev amid a major volume spike and 21-point price move.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $136k lifetime.
- They have traded 96 related events with over $1.1M in volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Medvedev has moved up 21 points with a 66x volume spike, confirming strong market momentum.
$4,000 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A massively experienced, profitable cross-market trader bought Medvedev before a sharp move from 64% to 80%, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has traded across 1,679 markets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They bought Daniil Medvedev at 64%, before the market moved to 80%.
- Volume spiked 65.7x versus normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$1,466 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Medvedev before a 21-point move, with supporting pre-event volume spike and strong market momentum.
- This bettor has 1,104 resolved bets, wins 67%, and is up about $250K lifetime.
- They bought Medvedev at 76¢ before the market moved to 80¢.
- The market saw a 65x pre-event volume spike and a 21-point move toward Medvedev.
$8,862 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial sports trader
A high-volume serial cross-market sports trader with a profitable 530-bet history bought Medvedev at 68¢ before the market moved to 80¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 530 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $21.6K in profit.
- They bought Medvedev at 68¢ before the price jumped to 80¢, showing the market moved strongly in their direction.
- The market saw a 65.7x volume spike, suggesting broad pre-match money also flowed toward the same side.
$4,760 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 69%
88% sharp joins cluster
Sharp 88% winning bettor with strong lifetime profit is buying Tirante amid one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $85.7K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $18.8K total, adding confirmation around Tirante.
- Market volume spiked 82x before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-event positioning.
$2,450 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 57169804, $37,768 (63% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 57169804, $26,692 (53% win rate)
- 0x4698...d7a5 — Outcome 57169804, $13,913 (100% win rate)
- 0x0979...8d9b — Outcome 57169804, $11,905 (72% win rate)
- 0x1ef5...dc05 — Outcome 57169804, $11,667 (88% win rate)
- 0x1da3...2f94 — Outcome 57169804, $7,552 (86% win rate)
- 0x43eb...cf57 — Outcome 57169804, $5,177 (88% win rate)
- 0x7690...dfce — Outcome 57169804, $4,289
- 0x4699...5051 — Outcome 57169804, $4,230 (9% win rate)
- 0xff81...44c9 — Outcome 57169804, $3,571 (56% win rate)
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