When does the LeBron James market resolve?

The market resolves by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET, based on the next team LeBron James officially joins.

What happens if LeBron James stays with the Lakers?

If LeBron does not officially join a new team by the deadline, the market resolves to Los Angeles Lakers.

What does the market resolve to if LeBron retires?

If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with a professional team by the deadline, the market resolves to Other.

What smart money activity has this market seen?

The market has $14,062 in tracked smart money and one recorded smart money signal. Recent alerts show repeated buying activity on Yes, including signals from 93% and 94% winners and a sharp whale.

Part of: NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Q: What is the LeBron James Warriors prediction market?

It is a prediction market on whether LeBron James will officially join the Golden State Warriors by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET.

This Polymarket market tracks whether LeBron James will officially join the Golden State Warriors for the 2026-27 season. It resolves based on his next team by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET; the provided data shows $14,062 in tracked smart money and repeated buying activity on Yes, but no current market price is listed.

29 smart money signals detected, totaling $323,916.

Categories: Lebron James, NBA, Sports, Basketball, Los Angeles Lakers, NBA Offseason

Notable Trades

94% winner adding Yes

A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is adding to an existing Yes position at 32¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $622k lifetime.
They already hold about $53k of Yes shares and are adding again at 32¢.
The market has moved up 15 points this week, matching the bettor’s direction.

$14,062 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

94% winner adding Yes

A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is adding to an existing Yes position at 32¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $622k lifetime.
They already hold about $53k of Yes shares and are adding again at 32¢.
The market has moved up 15 points this week, matching the bettor’s direction.

$25,441 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

94% winner adding Yes

A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is adding to an existing Yes position at 32¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $622k lifetime.
They already hold about $53k of Yes shares and are adding again at 32¢.
The market has moved up 15 points this week, matching the bettor’s direction.

$7,051 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

94% winner adding Yes

A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is adding to an existing Yes position at 32¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $622k lifetime.
They already hold about $53k of Yes shares and are adding again at 32¢.
The market has moved up 15 points this week, matching the bettor’s direction.

$9,690 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A profitable serial cross-market trader with 168 resolved bets is taking a fresh bullish position on Yes, though the market is liquid and the signal is moderate.

This bettor has won 67% of 168 resolved trades and is up $24,823 lifetime.
Selling No at 87¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 13¢, signaling conviction that LeBron joins Golden State despite the market’s 13% odds.
The $1,018 position is meaningful but modest relative to $344,000 in 24-hour volume, so the track record is the main reason to follow it.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A profitable serial cross-market trader with 168 resolved bets is taking a fresh bullish position on Yes, though the market is liquid and the signal is moderate.

This bettor has won 67% of 168 resolved trades and is up $24,823 lifetime.
Selling No at 87¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 13¢, signaling conviction that LeBron joins Golden State despite the market’s 13% odds.
The $1,018 position is meaningful but modest relative to $344,000 in 24-hour volume, so the track record is the main reason to follow it.

$1,018 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

94% winner adding Yes

A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is adding to an existing Yes position at 32¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $622k lifetime.
They already hold about $53k of Yes shares and are adding again at 32¢.
The market has moved up 15 points this week, matching the bettor’s direction.

$15,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

94% winner adding Yes

A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is adding to an existing Yes position at 32¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $622k lifetime.
They already hold about $53k of Yes shares and are adding again at 32¢.
The market has moved up 15 points this week, matching the bettor’s direction.

$21,094 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp whale adding Yes

Five wallets are pushing a large Yes position, led by a highly profitable bettor adding to an already large open stake despite the market being liquid.

The main bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up about $708k lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same side for $138k, led by a wallet already holding a large Yes position.
The market has moved about 20 points toward Yes this week, and this flow is continuing at around 33¢.

$138,314 on Yes

94% winner adding Yes

A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is adding to an existing Yes position at 32¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $622k lifetime.
They already hold about $53k of Yes shares and are adding again at 32¢.
The market has moved up 15 points this week, matching the bettor’s direction.

$22,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 85418243, $1,446,778
0x2a82...4a0e — Outcome 53318090, $114,006 (50% win rate)
0x1751...febd — Outcome 53318090, $91,042
0xb3cf...0ebd — Outcome 53318090, $69,898 (81% win rate)
0x6e82...752c — Outcome 53318090, $56,377 (77% win rate)
0x39d2...0b90 — Outcome 53318090, $42,788 (100% win rate)
0x7804...7025 — Outcome 53318090, $25,435 (72% win rate)
0x9d64...2c11 — Outcome 53318090, $20,845
0x1e1f...c855 — Outcome 53318090, $20,000 (59% win rate)
0xc2e5...b3a5 — Outcome 53318090, $18,963 (66% win rate)

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Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

68dNBA: LeBron James Next Team$323,916 tracked29 signalsLebron JamesNBASportsBasketballLos Angeles LakersNBA Offseason

This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Price History — “No”

102¢

90¢

78¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction