Part of: France vs. England

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

This Polymarket market asks whether England will win its scheduled FIFA World Cup game on July 18, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. PolySpotter is tracking $1,944 in smart money and 1 signal, with recent alerts showing elite and high-win-rate bettors buying “No.” The market is scheduled to resolve on July 18, 2026, after the game is completed.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 18, 2026 If England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,067.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No, with a major pre-event volume spike adding corroboration despite modest trade size.

  • This bettor has won 61% across 20,023 resolved markets and is up $3.7M lifetime.
  • They are a major cross-market trader, with $3.75M flagged across 784 markets in 522 events.
  • Market activity is heating up, with an 80x pre-event volume spike before this match.

$1,944 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

94% winner buying No

A highly profitable sports/cross-market bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is buying No, supported by a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 807 resolved positions and is up about $402K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 141 events with the same 94% win rate.
  • They bought No at 74¢ as this market saw a 310x pre-event volume spike.

$1,332 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

89% winner buying NO

Proven sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.07M profit bought No at 74¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.07M lifetime.
  • They have traded 301 events with the same strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Market volume spiked 310x, and they entered at 74¢ on England not winning.

$4,440 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Elite bettors buying NO

Five wallets bought $21k of No together, including two highly profitable sports-style bettors with 89% and 94% win rates, amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win 89% and 94% of their resolved trades and are up about $1.48M combined.
  • Five wallets bought the same side within seconds, totaling $21.4k on No at 74¢.
  • Market volume spiked nearly 878x, suggesting coordinated pre-game positioning rather than routine activity.

$21,351 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $328,671
  2. 0x2c33...0563 No, $83,851 (58% win rate)
  3. 0xd3e7...ea94 Yes, $80,000 (76% win rate)
  4. 0xa0f2...1848 Yes, $66,711 (43% win rate)
  5. 0xc31d...4ebe Yes, $47,895 (52% win rate)
  6. 0x0f34...7684 Yes, $40,831 (42% win rate)
  7. 0xf787...3c4e Yes, $40,000 (50% win rate)
  8. 0xe907...cff6 Yes, $30,726 (46% win rate)
  9. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $27,700 (52% win rate)
  10. 0x772d...45bb Yes, $27,244 (37% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Aston Villa beats Liverpool

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Wolfsburg fail to win

Covers 1 related market

Wolfsburg won't win today

Covers 1 related market

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

5hFrance vs. England$29,067 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Yes
25¢
No
76¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 18, 2026 If England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
77¢
75¢
72¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

1d ago

$1,944 on No at 75¢

75¢76¢1¢

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

2d ago

$1,332 on No at 74¢

74¢76¢2¢

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

2d ago

$4,440 on No at 74¢

74¢76¢2¢

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

2d ago

$21,351 on No at 74¢

74¢76¢2¢

Related Theses