France vs. England
24 signals across 3 markets · $3,312,830 tracked · resolves Jul 18, 2026
France vs. England is a 2026 FIFA World Cup prediction-market event covering traded outcomes for whether England or France wins on July 18, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the event-level odds and smart-money activity, including recent signals showing linked wallets adding to “No” and a sharp bettor adding “Yes.”
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 34-wallet cluster backs England
A large 34-wallet Yes cluster includes several highly profitable bettors and coincided with a 42-point price surge, though opposing positions make the signal less clean.
$194,702Score: 13.4 - 38-wallet linked No coalition
A large linked-wallet coalition bought No while the market repriced sharply, with several participants showing strong historical profitability and meaningful edge.
$765,457Score: 11.6 - 83% winner adding Yes
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 83% record and strong cross-market history is adding to a France Yes position at even odds.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 11.4 - 26-wallet sharp Yes cluster
A large 26-wallet one-sided cluster is buying Yes at 50¢, supported by several profitable repeat traders and existing positions being increased before the match.
$773,879Score: 10.4 - Sharp wallets stack up No
A $90,000 No-biased cluster includes a 93% win-rate bettor and multiple proven profitable wallets, despite conflicting Yes-side activity and recent price movement against No.
$89,938Score: 9.5 - Sharp joins 7-wallet No flow
Sharp 81% sports bettor is adding to a No position alongside 7-wallet one-sided flow, though the market is highly liquid and the bet size is modest.
$1,264Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.0 - Proven sharp bettor buys No
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate and 2,119 resolved positions bought No amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
$2,339Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor buys No across event markets
A proven profitable bettor with a 75% win rate made a fresh $3,735 No purchase alongside coordinated cross-market positioning and a major volume spike.
$3,735Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 6.0 - Serial sharp bettor sells Yes
A proven, profitable serial cross-market bettor is exiting a substantial Yes position, creating a defensible bearish No signal despite the trade appearing partly to be position management.
$3,055Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor buys No across event markets
A proven profitable bettor with a 75% win rate made a fresh $3,735 No purchase alongside coordinated cross-market positioning and a major volume spike.
$1,232Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 5.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2c3350…0563$623,995 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0x86d2d4…731d$426,111 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xd7acb3…f764$150,330 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x7c1ee8…bab3$117,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0xdb859a…152f$67,657 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xc430e5…1ebf$58,167 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x0353aa…c2ff$15,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xf53198…121c$6,300 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x91feec…c1c6$4,967 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x502276…9b18$4,454 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the France vs England prediction market odds?
The odds are set by Polymarket traders buying and selling shares in the event’s child markets, including whether England wins and whether France wins on July 18, 2026. PolySpotter tracks those prices alongside smart-money signals.
What is smart money doing on France vs England?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show mixed smart-money activity across the event: linked wallets have been adding to a “No” position, while a sharp bettor has been adding “Yes.” That suggests traders are actively positioning around multiple possible outcomes.
Does this event cover both France and England outcomes?
Yes. This hub covers the related child markets for the match, including whether England wins and whether France wins, rather than focusing on just one side.
When does the France vs England market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the FIFA World Cup match on July 18, 2026, with the listed resolution time of 21:00 UTC.