Part of: Colts vs. Commanders

Spread: Colts (-4.5)

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $278,588.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

Profitable bettors lead $330K Colts cluster

Five wallets placed $329,535 on the Colts amid a 265x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with extensive track records, though the price has since fallen.

  • Five wallets bought the Colts for a combined $329,535, alongside a 265x spike in trading volume.
  • Two participants have strong records: one has won 95% of 838 resolved positions and is up $6.48M; another has won 88% of 288 and is up $1.30M.
  • They entered at 51¢, but the current odds are 40% after a 9.5% daily decline.

$269,958 on Colts

Perfect-record serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable bettor with 149 wins from 149 resolved positions is backing the Colts at even odds, with a repeated cross-market trading record adding support.

  • This bettor has won all 149 resolved positions and is up $264,833 on $829,548 invested.
  • They placed a fresh $2,000 bet on the Colts at 50¢; the wallet has traded across 157 events.
  • The wallet has also positioned across three markets in this game, including activity from prior runs.

$2,000 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 100%

77–0 bettor adding to Commanders

A bettor with 77 wins from 77 resolved positions is adding $6,630 to an existing Commanders position at 51¢.

  • This bettor has won all 77 resolved positions and is up $245,651 on over $1.1 million invested.
  • They added another $6,630 to Commanders at 51¢, increasing an existing position.
  • The wallet has traded across 37 events, suggesting a sustained cross-market strategy.

$6,630 on Commanders | Wallet win rate: 100%

Related Theses

NDSU-Air Force tops 47.5

Covers 1 related market

Sacramento State-Fresno State stays low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Pittsburgh-Virginia Tech goes over

Covers 1 related market

Steelers cover in a shootout

Covers 2 related markets

North Texas covers the spread

Covers 1 related market

Texas A&M wins by 14+

Covers 1 related market

NC State covers the spread

Covers 1 related market

Jets beat the Avalanche

Covers 1 related market

Arkansas State beats Louisiana

Covers 1 related market

Bills-Texans game will be high-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Colts (-4.5)

Colts vs. Commanders$278,588 tracked3 signalsSportsNFL (All)Games
Colts
100¢
Commanders
0¢

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if the Colts win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Colts (-4.5)

2026-10-04 13:47 UTC

$269,958 on Colts at 51¢

51¢→100¢↑49¢

Spread: Colts (-4.5)

2026-10-04 07:37 UTC

$2,000 on Colts at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Spread: Colts (-4.5)

2026-10-03 19:27 UTC

$6,630 on Commanders at 51¢

Related Theses