Colts vs. Commanders
104 signals across 33 markets · $2,056,176 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026
The Colts vs. Commanders Polymarket event tracks which team will win their NFL game on October 4, with the market resolving to Colts or Commanders. PolySpotter has tracked $7,628 in smart money across two signals, including alerts for a proven bettor and a profitable veteran adding to the Colts position.
Markets (33)
- Colts vs. Commanders10 signals · $469,014 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.510 signals · $373,380 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-4.5)3 signals · $278,588 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-6.5)3 signals · $135,792 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-5.5)4 signals · $98,978 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 30.53 signals · $55,783 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 45.52 signals · $48,566 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 47.57 signals · $47,190 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 40.55 signals · $46,861 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-3.5)6 signals · $45,606 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-7.5)3 signals · $45,143 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-8.5)3 signals · $44,880 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 32.51 signal · $31,392 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 48.54 signals · $31,290 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 54.52 signals · $30,028 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-13.5)4 signals · $25,990 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 34.52 signals · $22,398 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-10.5)4 signals · $21,398 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-16.5)4 signals · $21,143 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-14.5)3 signals · $20,754 tracked
- Spread: Commanders (-3.5)2 signals · $19,950 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-17.5)2 signals · $19,175 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 44.51 signal · $17,575 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-2.5)1 signal · $17,079 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 33.53 signals · $16,333 tracked
- Spread: Commanders (-2.5)2 signals · $16,105 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-1.5)1 signal · $15,475 tracked
- Spread: Colts (-9.5)4 signals · $13,437 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 37.51 signal · $12,548 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 35.51 signal · $8,970 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 49.51 signal · $2,853 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 55.51 signal · $1,445 tracked
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 43.51 signal · $1,058 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Proven sharp bettors adding to Over
Three highly profitable bettors added $200,527 to Over, including two already holding large positions, though a sizable Under cluster makes the market contested.
$15,415Score: 9.6 - Profitable bettors build Colts position
A sizeable Colts position was built by several proven profitable bettors, though a separate Commanders cluster makes the overall market flow contested.
$173,898Score: 9.5 - NFL event flow with a sharp Over reversal
The wallet shifted from smaller Under buys to larger Over buys, while substantial coordinated activity and a volume spike marked the same game event.
$30,903Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 9.0 - Seven-wallet Colts buying cluster
Seven wallets placed $144,516 on the Colts, alongside a sharp event-volume spike and a rapid price move, making the coordinated directional flow notable despite the lead wallet's modest win rate.
$22,880Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 9.0 - 94% winner joins Colts cluster
Three wallets committed $15.5K to Colts, including a proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge, as the price rose from 63¢ to 72¢.
$15,475Score: 8.9 - 10-wallet Commanders betting cluster
A 10-wallet, $64K one-sided Commanders cluster and a 25.5x event-volume spike are notable, though this trader also bought both totals sides and lacks a strong win-rate edge.
$17,575Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 8.7 - Competing flows, 81% cross-market record
A major volume spike and substantial bets on both sides make this game notable, though the competing flows weaken the case for copying Commanders alone.
$21,627Score: 8.6 - 9-wallet Colts betting cluster
A nine-wallet, $86,695 coordinated position on the Colts is a strong directional signal, though this wallet also hedged across other game outcomes and has no exceptional win rate.
$17,234Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 8.5 - 87% winner adds to Commanders position
A highly profitable bettor with an 87% record added a large Commanders position at 48¢, though opposing Colts buying makes the broader cluster less decisive.
$52,977Score: 8.5 - Proven sharp leading coordinated Under flow
A highly profitable bettor with 475 resolved positions bought Under as three other wallets joined the same side amid a major volume spike.
$77,144Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 8.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x526852…135d$389,754 · 11 markets · 16 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x67542c…e3bc$173,143 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 54% wins
- 0x1f3a64…895d$100,974 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x924379…658e$88,534 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xf0318c…c80c$77,144 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x8a8685…4998$70,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0xbc43c8…96d3$56,100 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 60% wins
- 0xc80756…c12b$38,307 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x54ce7d…9f80$28,236 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xdc41c3…dd7e$24,074 · 1 market · 1 alert · 46% wins
FAQs
What are the Colts vs. Commanders prediction-market odds?
The event page tracks the market for whether the Colts or Commanders will win. Check the live market for the latest odds; no fixed odds are provided here.
What is smart money doing in the Colts vs. Commanders market?
PolySpotter's recent alerts show a proven bettor and a profitable veteran adding to Colts positions. The event has $7,628 in tracked smart money across two signals.
When does the Colts vs. Commanders market resolve?
The game is scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 9:30 a.m. ET. If postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
How does the Colts vs. Commanders market resolve?
It resolves to Colts if the Colts win or Commanders if the Commanders win. If the game is canceled or ends in a tie with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.