Part of: Spain vs. Belgium
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $435,784.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Six-wallet draw surge
Six-wallet one-sided Yes flow totaling $53.7k coincided with a 10.6x volume spike and a 19-point move toward the draw.
- Six wallets put $53.7k on the draw in the same window, creating a strong one-way signal.
- Yes jumped 19 percentage points as volume ran 10.6x above normal.
- One participating bettor is up $107k with a 65% win rate and was adding to an $86k Yes position.
$53,668 on Yes
92% winner buying No
Surface: a highly profitable sports/cross-market trader with a 92% record is buying No on the draw at 76¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up about $250K lifetime.
- Their wins came at an average 48¢ entry, suggesting a real edge rather than just buying favorites.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 141 events with a 92% hit rate.
$2,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
93% sharp adding No
Elite 93% win-rate cross-market bettor is adding to an already large No position, though the latest trade is small relative to their existing stake in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $406K lifetime.
- They already have a large No position here, with about $238K invested at the same 76¢ entry.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with 39 events and $2.5M in tracked betting volume.
$12,676 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
93% winner adding big
Proven 93% win-rate cross-market bettor is adding a large $178k No position to an existing $238k stake on a soccer draw market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $406k lifetime.
- They are adding $178k to an existing No position, bringing total exposure to about $416k.
- This wallet has traded 39 related events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$155,904 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Elite sports bettor buys No
Highly profitable sports/cross-market trader with an 88% long-run win rate bought No on a liquid Spain-Belgium draw market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.47M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,384 markets with an 88% win rate, suggesting a durable sports edge.
- Entry at 76¢ implies they see the draw as less likely than the market’s 24% price.
$3,656 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
92% winner buying No
Surface: a highly profitable sports/cross-market trader with a 92% record is buying No on the draw at 76¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up about $250K lifetime.
- Their wins came at an average 48¢ entry, suggesting a real edge rather than just buying favorites.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 141 events with a 92% hit rate.
$4,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
99% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate is buying No on a liquid Spain-Belgium draw market.
- This bettor has won 137 of 139 resolved positions and is up $185K lifetime.
- Their average winning entry was 55¢, so the track record is far above normal market odds.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 177 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
$1,455 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
92% winner buying No
Surface: a highly profitable sports/cross-market trader with a 92% record is buying No on the draw at 76¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up about $250K lifetime.
- Their wins came at an average 48¢ entry, suggesting a real edge rather than just buying favorites.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 141 events with a 92% hit rate.
$2,701 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner adding No
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% historical win rate and strong profit is adding to an existing No position on a liquid Spain-Belgium draw market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $260K lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing No position, now with about $18.8K total exposure at 76¢.
- This wallet has traded 145 related events with a 92% win rate, suggesting a repeat sports edge.
$5,501 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner buying No
Surface: a highly profitable sports/cross-market trader with a 92% record is buying No on the draw at 76¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up about $250K lifetime.
- Their wins came at an average 48¢ entry, suggesting a real edge rather than just buying favorites.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 141 events with a 92% hit rate.
$2,801 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10053373, $3,448,405
- 0x253a...af26 — Outcome 11327975, $1,581,436
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 11327975, $603,712 (90% win rate)
- 0xabb8...bba3 — Outcome 11327975, $121,212 (49% win rate)
- 0x6880...cf03 — Outcome 11327975, $104,577 (84% win rate)
- 0x3ea2...e8e5 — Outcome 11327975, $103,300 (100% win rate)
- 0x60e4...c771 — Outcome 11327975, $73,727 (65% win rate)
- 0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 11327975, $73,069 (48% win rate)
- 0x4810...289a — Outcome 11327975, $40,674 (87% win rate)
- 0x4f93...0991 — Outcome 11327975, $40,000
Related Theses
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