Part of: Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,973.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate made a nearly $4k bet on the high-probability side, making this worth surfacing despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades, with 78 wins in 82 markets.
  • They have bet across 43 events and 72 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off guess.
  • They bought No at 86¢, backing the high-probability side with nearly $4k of size.

$3,973 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 91602566, $247,685
  2. 0x02b4...7092 Outcome 12044023, $21,000
  3. 0x146d...17c7 Outcome 12044023, $14,938
  4. 0xdd68...0261 Outcome 12044023, $6,000 (45% win rate)
  5. 0xedc8...a743 Outcome 12044023, $4,831
  6. 0xaee7...37fe Outcome 12044023, $3,647
  7. 0x7f00...487f Outcome 12044023, $3,499
  8. 0x97fc...229e Outcome 12044023, $3,124
  9. 0x0792...52e7 Outcome 12044023, $2,945
  10. 0x35f3...cfd0 Outcome 12044023, $1,700

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?$3,973 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 50 4.5 50Rewards 200, 4.5, 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

44d ago

$3,973 on No at 86¢

Related Theses