Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,916.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
Unbeaten bettor backs No
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the wallet is 19-0 on resolved trades with positive lifetime P&L and is buying No with a meaningful $3k stake.
- This bettor has won 19 of 19 resolved trades and is up about $2.9k lifetime.
- They put $3,000 on No at 89¢, backing Jordan to miss the knockout stage.
- The market is still far from resolution, so this looks like a long-horizon conviction bet rather than a last-minute odds grab.
$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
New repeat whale on NO
A brand-new wallet with repeated large-bet activity is taking a sizable No position in a quiet World Cup futures market.
- This wallet is under 2 days old but has already made 12 large flagged bets totaling $29.7k.
- This $3.16k No buy is bigger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet book.
- Entry at 79¢ implies they are backing Jordan to miss the knockout stage despite only modest recent price movement.
$3,160 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large buy on a relatively quiet World Cup market, adding conviction to Jordan Yes at 21¢.
- This bettor has won 67% of 160 resolved trades and is up $132k lifetime.
- They have traded across 28 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- This $3.4k buy was nearly a full day’s volume in the market, showing meaningful conviction at 21¢.
$3,377 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
New profitable repeat bettor
A 6-day-old repeat large bettor with early profit is adding another World Cup position, buying Jordan to advance at 20¢.
- This new wallet is only 6 days old but has already placed $41k in flagged bets.
- Early results are strong: 2 wins, 0 losses, and about $9.3k in profit so far.
- Buying Yes at 20¢ suggests they see Jordan’s knockout-stage chances as underpriced.
$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%
Sharp bettor fades Jordan
Sharp 86% winner made a $3.1k No bet in a quiet market while also positioning across three related markets.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 63 bets and is profitable lifetime.
- The $3.1k No buy was nearly 10x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- They are also active across 3 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader qualification thesis.
$3,079 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x5cae...a00a — Outcome 60066750, $20,983 (67% win rate)
- 0xc096...9e8d — Outcome 60066750, $1,219
- 0x806e...2e52 — Outcome 60066750, $1,184 (92% win rate)
- 0x810d...0d24 — Outcome 60066750, $1,007 (50% win rate)
- 0x7609...6c4e — Outcome 60066750, $1,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x235e...5673 — Outcome 60066750, $975 (42% win rate)
- 0x3342...309a — Outcome 60066750, $898
- 0x78c1...473e — Outcome 60066750, $730
- 0x373a...f4c1 — Outcome 60066750, $474 (61% win rate)
- 0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 60066750, $419 (68% win rate)
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