Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $116,460.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
94% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 94% win rate made a fresh $39.5k buy on Spirit before a major volume surge, and the price has already moved sharply in their favor.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $2.0M across 219 settled positions
- They put $39.5k into Spirit at 43¢, and the market is already up to 55¢
- The market saw a 335x volume spike, which supports the idea that informed money rushed in
$39,513 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%
98% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 98% win rate and +$117.8k realized P&L just bought Vitality at 58¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite only one alert source.
- This bettor wins 98% of their resolved trades (161 of 165) and is up $117.8k lifetime
- They bought Vitality at 58¢, a clear fresh position from a wallet with a rare long-term edge
- The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate opinion rather than noise from a thin book
$3,653 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 98%
3-wallet Vitality surge
Three wallets piled $63.8k into Vitality on a big pre-match volume spike, led by a repeat new wallet and a bettor with a perfect 21-for-21 resolved record.
- Three wallets bought $63.8k of Vitality together, including one $60.1k order that took a clear stand in one burst.
- One wallet is a repeat new account less than 2 days old with $177k in flagged bets, and another is 21 for 21 on resolved markets with $25k profit.
- This hit during a 335x volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine match betting.
$63,844 on Vitality
Profitable new wallet
A 17-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large bets sold Spirit at 42¢, which translates to buying Vitality around 58¢, suggesting fresh conviction from a new but unusually successful bettor.
- This 17-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times for large bets and is up $2.9k so far.
- They have won 4 of 4 resolved bets, which is notable even on a small sample.
- This trade effectively backs Vitality around 58¢, close to the current ask in a liquid market.
$1,821 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable new wallet betting big
A 17-day-old wallet with early profits and six prior large-bet flags just made another sizable buy on Spirit at 42¢, suggesting repeat conviction from a new but strong-starting bettor.
- This 17-day-old wallet has already been flagged 6 times for large bets and is up $2.9k early
- They've won all 4 resolved bets so far and just bought Spirit at 42¢
- The bet is nearly $2.9k, showing real conviction rather than a small flyer
$2,889 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale buying Spirit
A 1-day-old wallet keeps firing sizable bets across multiple markets, and this trade is a fresh contrarian position on Spirit at 42¢ in a major esports final.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 5 large-bet alerts and put $16.7k into flagged trades
- This is a fresh $1.5k buy on Spirit +1.5 at 42¢ in a major Counter-Strike final
- The market is liquid and tight at 58/42, so buying here suggests real conviction rather than chasing a thin book
$1,518 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 23%
95% win-rate bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate bought Vitality at 59¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades with 1,412 wins and $85.9k profit
- They have bet across 86 events and 599 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
- Bought Vitality at 59¢, a price that implies they see the handicap as better than a coin flip
$1,748 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 93%
99% win-rate sharp
A proven sharp bettor with a 99% win rate and strong long-term profits is buying Spirit +1.5 at 43¢, making this a clear copy-trade candidate despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 66 of 67 resolved trades and is up $64k overall
- They trade across 80 related markets and 73 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Bought Spirit at 43¢, a price that implies they think the handicap side is materially undervalued
$1,474 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 82346364, $130,675 (59% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 82346364, $91,890 (94% win rate)
- 0x791e...9bda — Outcome 82346364, $3,460 (98% win rate)
- 0x0980...1306 — Outcome 82346364, $2,482 (100% win rate)
- 0x4e9c...1fca — Outcome 82346364, $1,340 (100% win rate)
- 0x6326...6329 — Outcome 82346364, $783
- 0x4912...b76f — Outcome 82346364, $741 (90% win rate)
- 0x83a0...eabb — Outcome 82346364, $702 (94% win rate)
- 0x272d...bc2f — Outcome 82346364, $686 (78% win rate)
- 0x4aaa...040a — Outcome 82346364, $662
Related Theses
Spirit wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
Falcons win early, PARIVISION advances
Covers 3 related markets
