Part of: 2026 PGA Championship Winner

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $48,460.

Categories: PGA, Major Championships, PGA Championship, Sports, Golf

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market track record is building a No thesis across multiple PGA Championship markets amid a volume spike.

This bettor is up $428k lifetime across 2,375 resolved bets with a 57% win rate.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 288 events and now $11.4k across 3 related PGA markets.
Bought No at 76¢ and the market has already moved to 83¢, supporting the direction of the trade.

$1,399 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp linked Yes cluster

High-score one-sided Yes cluster with linked wallets, a major volume spike, and participation from a 94% winning profitable wallet makes this worth surfacing despite entries now above market.

A bettor who wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $48K joined the Yes side.
Five wallets put $14.7K on the same outcome, with two wallets sharing a funder.
Volume is 16x above normal and the market is up 7 points today.

$14,705 on Yes

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor is buying Rahm No while positioning across multiple PGA Championship markets amid a 16x volume spike.

This bettor is up $428K across 2,375 resolved bets.
They are active across 3 markets in this event, with about $10K total exposure.
No moved from 75¢ to 78¢ after their entry, and market volume is running 16x above normal.

$1,399 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable golf event specialist

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large long-term track record is fading Jon Rahm across the PGA Championship event, though the single trade size is modest.

This bettor is up about $428K lifetime across more than 2,300 resolved markets.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 288 events and $2.7M in flagged event trades.
They bought No at 70¢ after Rahm’s Yes odds jumped 17 points in a day, suggesting they are fading the move.

$2,097 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

91% winner backing Yes

Sharp wallet with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is effectively buying Jon Rahm Yes after a major 1-day price move.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $14.8K lifetime.
Selling No at 70¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 30¢ on Rahm winning.
The market has moved up 17 percentage points in 24 hours, supporting the momentum behind the trade.

$2,239 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% winner buying No

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No on Rahm at 83¢ despite only a weak single signal.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $13.8k lifetime.
Their 57-bet history beats average implied odds by about 19 percentage points.
They bought No at 83¢, positioning against Rahm winning the 2026 PGA Championship.

$2,243 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable PGA portfolio bettor

Profitable wallet is making a bullish Rahm trade as part of a larger $54k cross-market PGA Championship portfolio while the price has surged.

This bettor wins 65% of resolved trades and is up $30,667 lifetime.
They have put $54,392 across 5 markets in this same PGA Championship event.
Rahm’s Yes price is up 16.9 points in 24 hours, matching the bullish flow.

$1,009 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable wallets chasing momentum

Three wallets bought Rahm Yes during a sharp one-day price move, including one 79% winner and another highly profitable sports bettor.

Three wallets bought the same side for $6.5K as Yes jumped 21.9 points in a day.
One bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $15K lifetime.
Another wallet is up $153K lifetime and also joined the Rahm Yes move.

$6,500 on Yes

Million-profit serial bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with 1,024 resolved trades and $1.2M lifetime profit is buying No on Rahm at 85¢ amid a sharp volume spike.

This bettor has won 63% of 1,024 resolved trades and is up about $1.2M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.9M placed across 103 markets in 76 events.
Market volume is spiking 44.8x above normal, and they bought No at 85¢ against Rahm winning.

$11,360 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

Proven cross-market sharp

A highly proven bettor with a 78% win rate and +$255k lifetime P&L is extending a cross-market PGA Championship thesis by buying Rahm No.

This bettor has won 78% of 3,907 resolved bets and is up $255k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events, with $395k deployed in similar event-based theses.
This is part of a broader PGA Championship position: 3 markets and $11.1k tied to the same event.

$2,170 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 80548085, $115,315
0x0eb5...c494 — Outcome 89419401, $37,463 (92% win rate)
0xae0f...f647 — Outcome 89419401, $23,017 (67% win rate)
0x5452...d448 — Outcome 89419401, $22,683 (75% win rate)
0xe558...dcd2 — Outcome 89419401, $19,858 (72% win rate)
0xc33a...3da3 — Outcome 89419401, $14,194 (98% win rate)
0x1653...0348 — Outcome 89419401, $12,804 (50% win rate)
0x0e1d...0c53 — Outcome 89419401, $11,975 (56% win rate)
0xf584...2497 — Outcome 89419401, $9,243 (51% win rate)
0x171c...f0a0 — Outcome 89419401, $8,183 (79% win rate)

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Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Resolved2026 PGA Championship Winner $48,460 tracked12 signalsPGAMajor ChampionshipsPGA ChampionshipSportsGolf

This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026. If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.