2026 PGA Championship Winner
38 signals across 7 markets · $144,407 tracked · resolves May 18, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the 2026 PGA Championship winner, currently centered on whether Cameron Young will win the major. PolySpotter has flagged $1,640 in smart money activity, including a recent alert for profitable sharp buying a longshot outcome.
Markets (7)
- Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?12 signals · $48,460 tracked
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?4 signals · $39,801 tracked
- Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?7 signals · $18,549 tracked
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?4 signals · $15,912 tracked
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?7 signals · $14,636 tracked
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?3 signals · $5,410 tracked
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?1 signal · $1,640 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster fading spike
A profitable sharp wallet joined a 3-wallet cluster buying No against an extreme price move, with cross-market positioning and a clearly contrarian thesis.
$5,316Score: 16.5 - Sharp trio buying No
Three wallets, including a 90% winner up $1.78M, bought $20K of No during a major volume spike on a quiet outright golf market.
$20,067Score: 14.9 - Sharp linked Yes cluster
High-score one-sided Yes cluster with linked wallets, a major volume spike, and participation from a 94% winning profitable wallet makes this worth surfacing despite entries now above market.
$14,705Score: 14.5 - 90% winner fading golfers
Elite 90% win-rate wallet with $1.8M lifetime profit bought $10.2k of No and is taking related positions across the same PGA event.
$10,188Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 13.0 - Elite 90% golf bettor
Elite 90% lifetime bettor with $1.78M profit bought $10.8k of No on Xander Schauffele winning the 2026 PGA Championship amid a major volume spike.
$10,793Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 10.7 - Proven cross-market sharp
Proven profitable wallet with a 78% win rate and extensive cross-market history is buying No in a coordinated PGA Championship thesis.
$2,376Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.0 - 99% winner backs Yes
Elite sharp wallet with a 99% resolved win rate and $146k profit is buying Scheffler Yes after a sharp 1-day price move.
$1,650Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.0 - 90% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.78M lifetime profit bought Scottie Scheffler Yes at 18%.
$3,766Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 8.0 - Proven cross-market sharp
A highly proven bettor with a 78% win rate and +$255k lifetime P&L is extending a cross-market PGA Championship thesis by buying Rahm No.
$2,170Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.0 - Proven cross-market bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a 78% win rate and extensive cross-market history is taking a $3.3k No position as part of a broader PGA Championship thesis.
$3,272Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf28e42…cab2$24,747 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 89% wins
- 0x033f03…618e$16,788 · 5 markets · 5 alerts · 76% wins
- 0xfea31b…d227$11,360 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
- 0xa38a45…821d$8,744 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 56% wins
- 0x20f788…5527$7,211 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xb2eef6…9bdc$6,439 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xe558bb…dcd2$4,338 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 72% wins
- 0xea2b42…1fc6$3,845 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x37e472…c991$3,382 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x10e053…c736$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for the 2026 PGA Championship winner?
This event hub tracks prediction-market pricing for the 2026 PGA Championship winner market, including the available Cameron Young outcome. Odds can move as bettors react to form, injuries, course fit, and tournament news.
Is smart money betting on Cameron Young to win the 2026 PGA Championship?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,640 in smart money activity across this event, with a recent alert noting profitable sharp buying of a longshot. That suggests at least one experienced or historically profitable trader has taken interest in the upside outcome.
What does “profitable sharp buying longshot” mean?
It means PolySpotter detected buying from a trader with a profitable track record on an outcome priced as a longshot. In this event, that signal points to sharp interest in the 2026 PGA Championship winner market rather than broad public consensus.
When does the 2026 PGA Championship winner market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the 2026 PGA Championship, which is set for May 14–17, 2026. Resolution is expected by May 18, 2026, based on the official tournament winner.
How does this PGA Championship prediction market resolve if a player misses the cut?
If the listed player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified, or is otherwise eliminated under official tournament rules, that player’s market resolves to “No.” The winning outcome is based on the official PGA Championship result.