Part of: US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien
This prediction market tracks the 2026 US Open ATP match between Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with $6,435 in smart money tracked across recent Mensik and Tien betting signals; live odds are available on the market page.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $123,807.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor joins 21-wallet Mensik cluster
A highly profitable serial trader exited Learner Tien while 21 linked wallets bought Jakub Mensik, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite the individual trade being a position close.
- This bettor wins 86% of 549 resolved trades and is up $364,270 lifetime.
- Twenty-one wallets, including two linked by funding, bought Jakub Mensik for $86,053 total.
- The trade was an equivalent move toward Jakub Mensik at roughly 40¢, though the wallet was closing an existing Learner Tien position.
$3,640 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 87%
21-wallet cluster backs Mensik
A proven profitable serial trader sold Learner Tien at 51¢ while 21 linked wallets committed $86,000 to Jakub Mensik, creating a strong coordinated directional signal.
- Twenty-one linked wallets are buying Jakub Mensik, committing $86,000 in the same direction.
- This trader has won 74% of 715 resolved bets and earned $550,507 in realized profit.
- The 51¢ Learner Tien sale is equivalent to buying Jakub Mensik around 49¢, though the trader had previously held both sides.
$2,796 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 74%
96% winner adds to Tien position
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to a Learner Tien position amid a six-wallet buying cluster and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of trades across 426 resolved positions and is up $370,200.
- They added $2,200 to an existing Learner Tien position, bringing total investment to $6,700.
- Five other wallets also bought Learner Tien, with the six-wallet cluster totaling $45,329 during a 98.5x volume spike.
$2,200 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 95%
New wallet scaling into coordinated Mensik buy
A very new wallet repeatedly scaled into Mensik alongside four other buyers during a 96.9x volume surge, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite limited proven history.
- This 9-hour-old wallet has made seven flagged bets and invested $61,263 overall, including a $15,575 Mensik purchase here.
- Five wallets bought Mensik for $38,922 as volume surged 96.9x above normal, while odds moved from 44¢ to 55¢.
- The bettor is adding to an existing $55,986 Mensik position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off trade.
$15,575 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 100%
Four-wallet Mensik buying surge
A large, unusually coordinated Mensik position coincided with a 52x volume spike and a 14-point price rise, although mixed wallet records and opposing Tien activity reduce conviction.
- Four wallets bought $37,811 of Mensik, with two established profitable bettors contributing to the move.
- Trading volume ran 52x above its historical average, and Mensik's price rose 14 percentage points to 58%.
- The position is being added to existing holdings, while a separate Tien cluster makes this a notable but contested signal.
$13,863 on Jakub Mensik
94% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge placed a fresh $2,001 bet on Learner Tien.
- This bettor has won 94% of 2,486 resolved positions and earned over $1.2 million.
- The wallet has demonstrated a 34-point edge over its average implied odds across 508 events.
- It placed a fresh $2,001 position on Learner Tien at 57%, close to the current 56% market price.
$2,001 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner backs Mensik
A highly proven serial trader with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,149 bet on Jakub Mensik at 45¢.
- This bettor has won 253 of 270 resolved positions, with nearly $3.1M in reported profit.
- The trader consistently operates across 422 markets and 327 events, indicating a broad, repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- A fresh $3,149 position was opened on Jakub Mensik at 45¢, below the current 46¢ market price.
$3,149 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 94%
23-wallet Tien conviction cluster
A large 23-wallet Learner Tien cluster, major volume spike, and participation from a highly profitable bettor indicate unusually strong directional conviction, despite conflicting opposite-side flow.
- 23 wallets bought Learner Tien for $73,334 during an 11.7x volume spike.
- One participating bettor wins 89% of 37 resolved bets and is up $24,426.
- Learner Tien surged 46 percentage points to a 100% market price, confirming the cluster's direction but leaving little actionable value now.
$73,334 on Learner Tien
83% win-rate serial bettor adds
A highly experienced serial trader with an 83% win rate is adding $5,000 to an existing Learner Tien position, though the market is relatively liquid and the bet is not deeply mispriced.
- This bettor has won 83% of 1,065 resolved trades and is up $692,000 lifetime.
- They added another $5,000 to an existing Learner Tien position at 55¢, signaling increased conviction.
- The wallet has traded across 940 events, providing a substantial track record beyond a single-market bet.
$5,000 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 83%
96% winner scales into Mensik
A highly successful serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding $2,250 to an existing Jakub Mensik position at 45¢.
- This bettor has won 129 of 134 resolved trades and earned $262,283 in profit.
- The wallet is adding $2,250 to an existing $4,952 Mensik position, signaling increased conviction.
- The 45¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Mensik currently trading near 46%.
- copy_action
$2,250 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xd9bf...6c60 — Outcome 32526894, $55,986 (100% win rate)
- 0x79ae...9a4a — Outcome 32526894, $25,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 32526894, $16,144
- 0x7b10...acab — Outcome 32526894, $12,300 (60% win rate)
- 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 32526894, $11,364 (95% win rate)
- 0xbbf3...aa3a — Outcome 32526894, $6,830 (85% win rate)
- 0xe506...7c70 — Outcome 32526894, $6,016 (83% win rate)
- 0x12ec...41ae — Outcome 32526894, $5,679 (60% win rate)
- 0x32e3...3a5c — Outcome 32526894, $5,250 (67% win rate)
- 0x0cdf...ec9e — Outcome 32526894, $4,952 (96% win rate)
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