Part of: MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers who will be officially declared the winner of Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $10,000 in smart money and 1 recent signal, including a quiet-market Perry whale alert, with resolution expected on May 17, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $10,000.
Categories: Mike Perry, Nate Diaz, UFC, Combat Sports, Sports
Notable Trades
Quiet-market Perry whale
A single $10k Perry buy dwarfs this very quiet fight market's recent volume, suggesting concentrated conviction despite only a modest wallet track record.
- A $10k buy is almost 18x the market’s entire 24-hour volume.
- This bettor is modestly profitable, up $6.4k across 79 resolved bets.
- Entry at 61¢ implies they see Perry as clearly undervalued versus the current 59% odds.
$10,000 on Perry | Wallet win rate: 52%
Top Holders
- 0x997d...decf — Perry, $16,409 (52% win rate)
- 0xe524...d34f — Perry, $15,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Diaz, $12,975 (43% win rate)
- 0xcf6a...f9d0 — Diaz, $8,342 (35% win rate)
- 0x357b...8052 — Diaz, $2,250
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Diaz, $1,834 (79% win rate)
- 0xe641...0f63 — Perry, $1,563
- 0x2d61...1fa7 — Perry, $1,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x7f03...ba1f — Diaz, $940
- 0x441d...544d — Diaz, $900 (61% win rate)
