Part of: MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $72,003.

Categories: Mike Perry, Nate Diaz, UFC, Combat Sports, Sports

Notable Trades

Well-timed Perry surge

A repeat large-bet wallet bought Perry at 69¢ just before a rapid 24-point move to 93¢, suggesting well-timed event-driven conviction despite a mixed historical win rate.

This bettor entered Perry at 69¢ before the market jumped to 93¢ within minutes.
The trade helped drive a sharp 24-point move in under 4 minutes.
The wallet is up about $82k lifetime, though its overall hit rate is only 47%.

$1,221 on Perry | Wallet win rate: 47%

91% winner joining Diaz wave

Elite 91% win-rate bettor bought $20.5k of Diaz amid a major volume spike and 5-wallet one-sided flow.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades across 1,566 bets and is up $277k lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same side for $60k total, with this trader adding $20.5k on Diaz.
Diaz has moved from this 41¢ entry to 48¢ as pre-fight volume spiked over 400x.

$20,500 on Diaz | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp funded Perry cluster

Strong Perry buy cluster led by a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet, linked funding, major volume spike, and rapid price move before the fight.

A bettor who wins 95% of resolved positions and is up $630,949 bought $7,007 of Perry at 60¢.
Nine wallets share the same funder, with four wallets buying $13,563 of Perry in the same window.
The market saw a 345x volume spike and Perry jumped about 24 points in 3 minutes.

$13,563 on Perry

Profitable new fight whale

A very profitable 12-day-old repeat whale is making a $20.5k Diaz bet amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This 12-day-old wallet is already up $334,894 and has won all 5 resolved bets.
It has been flagged 18 times for large new-wallet bets, with $119,160 total flagged.
Buying $20.5k of Diaz at 41¢ during a 998x pre-event volume spike.

$20,500 on Diaz | Wallet win rate: 100%

93% win-rate fight bettor

A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought $5,000 of Perry amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $278K lifetime.
They have traded 144 events with the same strong record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
Perry was bought at 60¢ during a nearly 998x volume spike before the fight.

$5,000 on Perry | Wallet win rate: 93%

New profitable repeat bettor

A 1-day-old wallet with repeat flagged bets and early profit is buying Perry at 61¢, suggesting fresh conviction despite a short track record.

This wallet is less than 2 days old but is already up $2,979 on one resolved bet.
It has now been flagged twice, with $5,517 in total notable betting activity.
Buying Perry at 61¢ suggests a clear lean in a liquid fight market.

$1,220 on Perry | Wallet win rate: 100%

Quiet-market Perry whale

A single $10k Perry buy dwarfs this very quiet fight market's recent volume, suggesting concentrated conviction despite only a modest wallet track record.

A $10k buy is almost 18x the market’s entire 24-hour volume.
This bettor is modestly profitable, up $6.4k across 79 resolved bets.
Entry at 61¢ implies they see Perry as clearly undervalued versus the current 59% odds.

$10,000 on Perry | Wallet win rate: 52%