Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portugal" if Portugal win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Croatia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $130,064.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sports whale buying Croatia

High-volume serial sports trader deployed $77.6k across related Portugal-Croatia markets, with Croatia spread buys aligning with a sharp move to 78¢ despite the wallet’s negative lifetime P&L.

A very active sports bettor put $77.6k across related markets, including heavy buys on Croatia covering the spread.
They traded four markets in the same event, suggesting a broader game thesis rather than one isolated bet.
Croatia has already moved to 78¢ after some of their fills came as low as 24–25¢.

$77,640 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 67%

83% sports sharp buying favorite

Sharp sports bettor with an 83% record and strong lifetime profit bought Portugal -1.5 despite the market being highly liquid.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $182k lifetime.
They have traded across 236 events with the same 83% success rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 34¢ implies they see Portugal -1.5 as a roughly 3x payout opportunity.

$3,462 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 39%

Two elite sharps buying Portugal

Two highly profitable sharp wallets with 88% and 97% historical win rates joined a one-sided Portugal -1.5 cluster at 32–33¢ despite a liquid market.

Two proven bettors are on Portugal, including one with a 97% record and $924K in profit.
Three wallets bought the same side for $25.5K, led by a $21.3K entry at 33¢.
The market has seen a 15x volume spike, and these wallets have a long record of successful cross-market sports trading.

$25,521 on Portugal

89% sports sharp buying spread

Sharp sports wallet with an 89% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Portugal -1.5 despite the market being liquid.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $59k lifetime.
They have repeated cross-market sports success across 44 events and $84k traded.
Entry at 33¢ implies a roughly 3x payout if Portugal win by 2+ goals.

$1,200 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 92%

85% winner backs Croatia spread

Sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $221k lifetime profit bought Croatia +1.5 for $6.6k despite a liquid market.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $221k lifetime.
They put $6.6k on Croatia +1.5 at 66¢, backing Portugal not to win by 2+ goals.
Their track record is strong across 158 resolved positions, with wins coming at much better odds than the market implied.

$6,634 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp spread-cover cluster

High-conviction Croatia cover buy from a 5-wallet cluster that includes two highly profitable sharp bettors and serial cross-market traders.

Two proven bettors joined this side: one is 44-for-44 with $524K profit, another wins 85% and is up $8.2M lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same outcome for $23.5K within 13 minutes, suggesting coordinated conviction.
Several wallets are serial cross-market traders with millions in volume, including one with a perfect resolved record.

$9,206 on Croatia

2-day wallet, 8-0 start

A 2-day-old wallet with an 8-0 resolved record and $43k profit is adding another sports position, making the trader’s early track record the main signal despite the modest bet size.

This new bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved trades and up $43k so far.
The wallet has already been flagged 6 times, with $42k in notable bets in just 2 days.
They bought Portugal -1.5 at 34¢, implying a roughly 3x payout if Portugal win by 2+ goals.

$1,481 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 56%

98% sharp bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Portugal -1.5 at 33¢.

This bettor has won 46 of 47 resolved bets and is up $23.5K lifetime.
Their average winning entry was just 28¢, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced underdogs.
Entry at 33¢ implies they see Portugal -1.5 as a roughly 3x opportunity.

$1,200 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 98%

93% winner backs Croatia

Sharp sports bettor with a 93% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Croatia +1.5 at 68¢ despite a liquid market.

This bettor has won 55 of 59 resolved positions and is up $4.6K lifetime.
Their past wins came around 50¢ on average, so the 93% record is not just from betting heavy favorites.
A $1.2K buy at 68¢ shows clear confidence in Croatia covering the +1.5 spread.

$1,200 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 91%