Part of: Iowa vs. Michigan
Iowa vs. Michigan
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Michigan, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $107,444.
Categories: Sports, CFB (All), Games, CFB
Notable Trades
97% winner leads Michigan cluster
Five wallets bought $31,293 of Michigan during a 12.7x volume spike, including a proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge.
- Five wallets bought Michigan for $31,293, with the position exceeding the market’s $25,407 liquidity.
- One bettor has won 97% of 360 resolved positions, earning $1.14 million while buying at an average 49% price.
- The trades landed around 61–64¢ as Michigan moved up 4% over the day, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine small positioning.
$84,611 on Michigan
Four-wallet sharp-money Iowa cluster
Four wallets committed over $21,000 to Iowa, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, creating a strong one-sided signal despite one position being an add-on and one a partial Michigan exit.
- Four wallets put $21,298 behind Iowa, with the market moving from roughly 34–35% to 36%.
- Two Iowa buyers have exceptional records: 89% wins with $5.15M profit and 81% wins with $459K profit.
- A serial cross-market trader with 511 events and $16.4M traded is also aligned with the Iowa direction.
$21,298 on Iowa
Serial bettor scaling into Iowa
A serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate is adding to an existing $4,652 Iowa position at 33%, signaling meaningful conviction despite only modest historical edge over entry prices.
- This bettor has won 74% of 70 resolved trades across 55 events and is up $3,687.
- The wallet is adding $1,535 to an existing $4,652 Iowa position at 33%, rather than making a one-off wager.
- Iowa is priced at 34%, so the trade implies the bettor sees a meaningful chance of an underdog upset.
$1,535 on Iowa | Wallet win rate: 66%
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