Part of: Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava
Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava
This prediction market covers the Oeiras 4 tennis match between Jaime Faria and Emilio Nava, scheduled for May 15, 2026, with resolution expected by May 22, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, while a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days without a winner resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $2,727 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp action on both Nava and Faria.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,061.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
83% winner backs Faria
Sharp 83% winner with strong cross-market history is exiting Nava, which is equivalent to backing Faria at 55¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $23.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 94 events with $254.8K deployed.
- Selling Nava at 45¢ is equivalent to backing Faria at 55¢.
$1,320 on Jaime Faria | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial sports trader
Serial cross-market tennis bettor with a massive sample and positive lifetime P&L bought Emilio Nava at 57%, alongside a rapid 13-point upward move, though the market has since moved against them.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 21,475 resolved bets, winning 70% and up $163k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 272 events with over $1.0M in detected volume, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- The buy helped coincide with a fast 13-point move up, though the current 46% price is now well below their 57% entry.
$1,407 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 70%
Sharp trader flips to Faria
Sharp profitable tennis trader with an 83% resolved win rate made a latest directional flip equivalent to buying Jaime Faria at 55¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $24,066 lifetime.
- They have traded 93 similar events with an 83% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable tennis edge.
- Latest move was away from Emilio Nava at 45¢, equivalent to buying Jaime Faria at 55¢.
$3,007 on Jaime Faria | Wallet win rate: 84%
High-volume sports mover
Moderately interesting because a high-volume sports trader bought Nava before a rapid 13-point move, though the wallet is not profitable lifetime.
- A high-volume sports bettor with 811 resolved bets put $6,000 on Nava at 43¢.
- The trade lined up with a fast 13-point move, with Nava now around 52¢.
- Entry at 43¢ implies they saw Nava as mispriced before the market repriced.
$6,000 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 65%
81% winner backing underdog
Proven profitable tennis bettor with an 81% win rate and $249k lifetime profit bought Emilio Nava despite the price later drifting lower.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $249k lifetime.
- They have bet across 65 sports events with the same 81% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- They bought Emilio Nava at 54¢, implying they saw him as more likely than the market’s near-coinflip price.
$1,500 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 81%
81% sharp backs Nava
Surface because a highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet joined a three-wallet one-sided Emilio Nava cluster on a live tennis market, with current price below the sharp entry.
- A bettor who wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $249K lifetime bought Emilio Nava at 54¢.
- Three wallets all backed the same side for $3.8K total, including one equivalent Nava buy via selling Faria.
- The market has swung sharply and Nava is now around 50¢, below the sharp bettor’s 54¢ entry.
$3,826 on Emilio Nava
Proven tennis sharp buying Nava
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 79% win rate and +$403k P&L bought $5k of Emilio Nava, moving the market sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $403k lifetime.
- They have traded 707 markets across 681 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $5k buy pushed Emilio Nava sharply higher, and the current 74¢ price is below their 78¢ entry.
$5,000 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x710c...78ea — Outcome 87215279, $3,654 (91% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 75499813, $2,894 (73% win rate)
- 0x046c...2a9c — Outcome 75499813, $1,167
- 0x2761...4d95 — Outcome 75499813, $1,149 (41% win rate)
- 0x62ae...c975 — Outcome 75499813, $1,091 (32% win rate)
- 0x3354...5042 — Outcome 75499813, $1,041 (70% win rate)
- 0x51e1...5ec9 — Outcome 75499813, $1,000 (44% win rate)
- 0x7ce9...61e5 — Outcome 75499813, $894 (83% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 75499813, $860 (55% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 75499813, $310 (83% win rate)
