Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Rafael Jodar in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $117,105.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$6,924
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$16,129 | Wallet win rate: 73%
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,000 | Wallet win rate: 66%
80% winner backs favorite
Proven profitable sports bettor with 80% win rate is buying Sinner amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $34,360 lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market sports trader with activity across 83 events.
- Entry at 84¢ is slightly below the current 86¢ market price, with volume spiking 55x before the match.
$1,600 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 80%
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,200 | Wallet win rate: 80%
91% sharp buying favorite
Surfacing because a highly proven serial sports trader with 91% resolved win rate and $2.1M profit is buying Sinner amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They have traded 299 markets across 235 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting edge.
- Market volume is running 36.6x above normal, and they entered Sinner at 82¢.
$1,803 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 91%
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$5,100 | Wallet win rate: 81%
77% winner backs favorite
Proven 77% winner with $206k profit placed a $20k bet on Jannik Sinner amid a 36.6x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $206k lifetime.
- They put $20,000 on Jannik Sinner at 81¢, a meaningful bet even in a liquid market.
- Market volume is running 36.6x above normal, suggesting broader pre-match momentum behind this side.
$20,000 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 77%
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,000 | Wallet win rate: 68%
New profitable wallet backs underdog
A very new wallet with early profits and repeat large-bet flags is backing the 16¢ tennis underdog amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This 2-day-old bettor is already up $1.85K across 7 resolved positions.
- They have now been flagged twice for large bets, with $4.26K total in notable positions.
- Entry at 16¢ on the underdog implies a ~6x payout if Rafael Jodar advances.
$2,260 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x1980...67d8 — Rafael Jodar, $71,711
- 0xc0b9...e313 — Jannik Sinner, $70,837
- 0x996a...e3cc — Jannik Sinner, $70,140 (100% win rate)
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Rafael Jodar, $66,648 (55% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Rafael Jodar, $46,966 (93% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Jannik Sinner, $44,702 (77% win rate)
- 0x6f8b...01aa — Rafael Jodar, $41,929 (37% win rate)
- 0xbfe6...fcc9 — Rafael Jodar, $33,922 (40% win rate)
- 0x4900...4a72 — Jannik Sinner, $33,173 (86% win rate)
- 0x751a...9ea1 — Jannik Sinner, $32,993 (99% win rate)
