Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Rafael Jodar in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $117,105.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$6,924

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$16,129 | Wallet win rate: 73%

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,000 | Wallet win rate: 66%

80% winner backs favorite

Proven profitable sports bettor with 80% win rate is buying Sinner amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $34,360 lifetime.
  • They are a seasoned cross-market sports trader with activity across 83 events.
  • Entry at 84¢ is slightly below the current 86¢ market price, with volume spiking 55x before the match.

$1,600 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 80%

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,200 | Wallet win rate: 80%

91% sharp buying favorite

Surfacing because a highly proven serial sports trader with 91% resolved win rate and $2.1M profit is buying Sinner amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
  • They have traded 299 markets across 235 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting edge.
  • Market volume is running 36.6x above normal, and they entered Sinner at 82¢.

$1,803 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 91%

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$5,100 | Wallet win rate: 81%

77% winner backs favorite

Proven 77% winner with $206k profit placed a $20k bet on Jannik Sinner amid a 36.6x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $206k lifetime.
  • They put $20,000 on Jannik Sinner at 81¢, a meaningful bet even in a liquid market.
  • Market volume is running 36.6x above normal, suggesting broader pre-match momentum behind this side.

$20,000 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 77%

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,000 | Wallet win rate: 68%

New profitable wallet backs underdog

A very new wallet with early profits and repeat large-bet flags is backing the 16¢ tennis underdog amid a pre-event volume spike.

  • This 2-day-old bettor is already up $1.85K across 7 resolved positions.
  • They have now been flagged twice for large bets, with $4.26K total in notable positions.
  • Entry at 16¢ on the underdog implies a ~6x payout if Rafael Jodar advances.

$2,260 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1980...67d8 Rafael Jodar, $71,711
  2. 0xc0b9...e313 Jannik Sinner, $70,837
  3. 0x996a...e3cc Jannik Sinner, $70,140 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x44a1...bd21 Rafael Jodar, $66,648 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xba81...dc35 Rafael Jodar, $46,966 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x479e...91c3 Jannik Sinner, $44,702 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x6f8b...01aa Rafael Jodar, $41,929 (37% win rate)
  8. 0xbfe6...fcc9 Rafael Jodar, $33,922 (40% win rate)
  9. 0x4900...4a72 Jannik Sinner, $33,173 (86% win rate)
  10. 0x751a...9ea1 Jannik Sinner, $32,993 (99% win rate)

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Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

6d$117,105 tracked23 signalsTennisSportsGames
Jannik Sinner
100¢
Rafael Jodar
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Rafael Jodar in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Jannik Sinner
102¢
92¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

2h ago

$6,924

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

2h ago

$16,129

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

2h ago

$1,000

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

2h ago

$1,600 on Jannik Sinner at 84¢

84¢100¢16¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

3h ago

$1,200

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

3h ago

$1,803 on Jannik Sinner at 82¢

82¢100¢18¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

3h ago

$5,100

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

3h ago

$20,000 on Jannik Sinner at 81¢

81¢100¢19¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

3h ago

$1,000

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

3h ago

$2,260 on Rafael Jodar at 16¢

16¢0¢16¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

3h ago

$2,000

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

3h ago

$2,080 on Rafael Jodar at 15¢

15¢0¢15¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

4h ago

$5,950 on Jannik Sinner at 85¢

85¢100¢15¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

5h ago

$1,111

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

5h ago

$2,000 on Rafael Jodar at 16¢

16¢0¢16¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

5h ago

$10,405 on Rafael Jodar at 16¢

16¢0¢16¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

5h ago

$9,405 on Rafael Jodar at 16¢

16¢0¢16¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

5h ago

$1,125 on Rafael Jodar at 15¢

15¢0¢15¢

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

8h ago

$5,678

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

9h ago

$8,000

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

10h ago

$9,933

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

16h ago

$1,140

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar

22h ago

$1,262 on Jannik Sinner at 87¢

87¢100¢13¢

Related Theses

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar | PolySpotter