Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Rafael Jodar in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,349.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,000 | Wallet win rate: 68%
New profitable wallet backs underdog
A very new wallet with early profits and repeat large-bet flags is backing the 16¢ tennis underdog amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This 2-day-old bettor is already up $1.85K across 7 resolved positions.
- They have now been flagged twice for large bets, with $4.26K total in notable positions.
- Entry at 16¢ on the underdog implies a ~6x payout if Rafael Jodar advances.
$2,260 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 71%
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$2,000 | Wallet win rate: 66%
93% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable 93% winner with extensive cross-market history is taking a fresh underdog position on Rafael Jodar at 15¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $611K lifetime.
- They have traded 118 events with a 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 15¢ on Rafael Jodar is a contrarian underdog bet with about 6.7x payout if right.
$2,080 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 93%
91% serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate is buying Jannik Sinner at 85¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They have traded across 234 events with $2.9M in detected cross-market volume.
- Buying at 85¢ matches their usual favorite-backing profile, where their average winning entry is 84¢.
$5,950 on Jannik Sinner | Wallet win rate: 91%
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,111 | Wallet win rate: 66%
10-wallet cluster backs underdog
High-score alert: a repeat new wallet tied to a 10-wallet funded cluster is buying the 16¢ underdog amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- A repeat new wallet has now been flagged 5 times, with $21.9K in notable bets tied to this pattern.
- 10 wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind the same betting network.
- Market volume is running 69.6x above its historical pace before the match, while this trade targets the 16¢ underdog.
$2,000 on Rafael Jodar
10-wallet cluster backs underdog
High-conviction underdog bet from a repeat new wallet tied to a 10-wallet funded cluster, with a pre-match volume spike supporting the move.
- A 10-wallet funded cluster is backing the same underdog position around 16¢.
- This new wallet has now been flagged 4 times, with about $20.9K in notable bets.
- Market volume is running 42x above its historical average before the match.
$10,405 on Rafael Jodar
10-wallet cluster backs underdog
High-conviction underdog bet from a repeat new-wallet bettor linked to a 10-wallet funded cluster, though without resolved track record yet.
- 10 linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind this position.
- This new wallet has now triggered 3 large-bet alerts totaling nearly $20k.
- Entry at 16¢ implies a big underdog payout if Jodar advances.
$9,405 on Rafael Jodar
93% winner backing underdog
A highly profitable 93% win-rate serial sports bettor is taking the underdog Rafael Jodar at 15¢ despite Sinner being the heavy favorite.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $611K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $873K tracked across 117 events.
- Entry at 15¢ targets a big underdog payout if Rafael Jodar advances.
$1,125 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x1980...67d8 — Rafael Jodar, $71,711
- 0x88d1...18da — Jannik Sinner, $52,000 (69% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Rafael Jodar, $46,966 (93% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Jannik Sinner, $24,702 (77% win rate)
- 0xe8d7...1252 — Jannik Sinner, $23,559 (87% win rate)
- 0x6c8d...17a2 — Rafael Jodar, $22,063 (71% win rate)
- 0x45e4...7e20 — Jannik Sinner, $20,000 (33% win rate)
- 0x76cc...fbbc — Rafael Jodar, $18,939 (21% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Rafael Jodar, $17,385 (80% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Rafael Jodar, $16,588 (55% win rate)
