Part of: Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik

Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $154,971.

Notable Trades

92% winner joined Tien surge

Elite 92% lifetime bettor bought Learner Tien amid a seven-wallet one-sided surge and a 41-point price move to near certainty.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.45M lifetime.
Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling $36K on Learner Tien.
The price jumped 41 points after the flow, from around 59¢ to near 100¢.

$2,000 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp-backed Tien cluster

High-scoring live tennis alert with 10 wallets effectively buying Learner Tien, including a sharp 82% winner and a repeat new large bettor with early profits, despite opposing Bublik flow.

10 wallets put $22.6K behind Learner Tien in the same direction.
One bettor in the group wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $9.4K lifetime.
A 7-day-old repeat large bettor is already up $7.8K, adding to the conviction signal.

$22,610 on Learner Tien

80% win-rate serial bettor

High-conviction Bublik buy from a proven 80% winner with strong lifetime profit, backed by one-sided wallet flow, volume spike, and price impact.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved markets and is up $498k lifetime.
Five wallets bought Alexander Bublik for $27.9k on the same side.
Volume spiked 62x, though this wallet entered at 86¢ and the market is now around 54¢.

$5,000 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial trader joins steam

A highly profitable serial sports trader joined one-sided Bublik flow during a major pre-match volume spike and 32-point price move.

This bettor is up $2.87M lifetime across more than 33,000 resolved trades.
Five wallets bought Alexander Bublik in the same window, totaling $27,854 on one side.
Bublik’s price jumped 32 points as volume ran 62x above its usual pace.

$1,290 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp bettor joins Bublik surge

Sharp tennis bettor with an 85% record joined a 5-wallet one-sided move on Bublik amid a major volume spike and 32-point price move.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $51.6K lifetime.
Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $27.9K on Bublik.
Bublik’s price jumped 32 points as volume spiked 62x above normal.

$11,531 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 80%

Undefeated new wallet

A 7-day-old wallet with a 9-0 resolved record and +$7.8k P&L is adding another tennis position amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This new bettor is 9-for-9 on resolved bets and up $7.8k so far.
The wallet is only 7 days old but has already had 6 large-bet flags totaling $13.7k.
This market saw a 40x pre-match volume spike, suggesting unusual attention before the match.

$1,038 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 100%

Elite 89% winner fading Tien

Elite tennis bettor with an 89% long-term win rate sold Learner Tien, equivalent to buying Alexander Bublik at 45¢, with market price moving in the same direction.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 70 events with the same 89% hit rate.
Selling Tien at 55¢ is effectively buying Bublik at 45¢, while Tien has already fallen 23 points.

$1,415 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A very high-volume, profitable serial sports trader is buying Learner Tien after a sharp price drop, though the bet size is modest for this liquid market.

This bettor is up $2.9M lifetime across nearly 34,000 resolved bets.
They are buying Learner Tien after the price fell 23 points, a contrarian entry on the dip.
This wallet has traded across 1,684 events, suggesting a highly active sports-betting strategy.

$2,751 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 55%

12-wallet sharp cluster

High-conviction one-sided tennis flow from a 12-wallet cluster includes multiple highly profitable bettors and a major pre-event volume spike.

12 wallets put $78K on the same side, including linked wallets sharing a funder.
Two standout bettors are in the flow: one wins 92% and is up $2.45M, another wins 82% and is up $1.68M.
Market activity spiked 58.8x, and the current 42¢ price is cheaper than several cluster entries.

$78,389 on Learner Tien

93% winner buying underdog

Elite profitable tennis bettor bought Alexander Bublik amid one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up over $1.0M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 93 events with the same 93% win rate.
Three wallets bought Alexander Bublik for $15K total during a 131x volume spike.

$1,069 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 76406886, $97,495 (89% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 76406886, $43,403 (63% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 76406886, $24,951 (55% win rate)
0xa2e4...bf9d — Outcome 76406886, $10,000 (60% win rate)
0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 76406886, $5,823 (82% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 76406886, $5,439 (59% win rate)
0xc181...0992 — Outcome 76406886, $5,263 (90% win rate)
0x7d78...29a5 — Outcome 76406886, $4,760 (76% win rate)
0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 76406886, $3,769 (48% win rate)
0xb236...aafb — Outcome 76406886, $2,000

Related Theses

Brazil-Japan match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik

ResolvedGeneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik$154,971 tracked14 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Alexander Bublik in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Alexander Bublik. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.