Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between FURIA and Spirit in Round 3 of the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $4,597 in smart money across 3 signals, with recent alerts showing notable sharp activity on Spirit and some FURIA flow.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between FURIA and Spirit in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
30 smart money signals detected, totaling $175,110.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite 92% esports sharp
Elite 92% win-rate bettor with $2.29M lifetime profit bought Spirit after a large upward price move.
- This bettor has won 92% of 1,040 resolved trades and is up $2.29M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.6M across 319 events, suggesting a long-running edge.
- Spirit has already moved sharply upward, and this buy at 88¢ adds to strong market momentum.
$1,016 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial esports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Spirit at 45¢ before a major move to 76¢, suggesting a strong esports edge despite only moderate alert score.
- This bettor has a large track record: 70% wins across 943 resolved bets and $734K profit.
- They bought Spirit at 45¢ before the market moved to 76¢, a 31-point gain from entry.
- This wallet has traded 470 markets across 304 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market betting strategy.
$2,061 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 70%
92% winner buying Spirit
Elite 92% winning trader with $2.28M lifetime profit bought Spirit at 68¢ ahead of an 8-point move to 76¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.28M lifetime.
- They have traded across 319 events with $3.6M in activity, suggesting a proven cross-market edge.
- Bought Spirit at 68¢ before the market moved to 76¢, showing immediate confirmation.
$1,519 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought FURIA before an 18-point move, though sizing is modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor has a long record: 314 resolved trades, 62% winners, and $14.6K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 25 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports betting process.
- FURIA moved about 18 percentage points upward around this trade, from a 75¢ entry to roughly 80¢ now.
$1,370 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 62%
Fresh wallet caught move
A brand-new wallet made a repeat large esports bet on FURIA at 57¢ shortly before the market surged to 80¢, suggesting strong live-market timing despite no resolved track record.
- A 2-hour-old wallet bought $3.75k of FURIA at 57¢ before the price jumped to 80¢.
- This is its second large flagged bet already, with $6.4k total detected in under 3 hours.
- The market moved 12 points in 3 minutes, suggesting this bettor was early to live momentum.
$3,750 on FURIA
Profitable Spirit-side cluster
Profitable serial cross-market bettor joined five-wallet Spirit-side flow amid a 19x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $44.6k across 248 resolved markets, with a 56% win rate.
- Five wallets backed the same Spirit side for $11.1k in the scan window.
- Volume jumped 19x before the match, adding support to the one-sided flow.
$1,125 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 57%
95% winner backs Spirit
Sharp esports bettor with a 20-1 resolved record bought Spirit alongside one-sided flow from five wallets despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 20 of 21 resolved trades and is up $15.4K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $11.1K on Spirit.
- Entry at 53¢ implies they see Spirit as mispriced despite a very liquid market.
$1,060 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
Five-wallet FURIA steam move
Coordinated one-sided flow into FURIA, backed by a 60x volume spike and fast price move, makes this worth surfacing despite the individual trade being modest.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling about $58K on FURIA.
- Market activity spiked 60x above normal and FURIA jumped 12 points in under 3 minutes.
- This wallet is only 12 days old but is already up $790 across early positions.
$1,965 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable esports whale flow
High-volume esports bettor with a huge profitable track record joined one-sided FURIA flow amid a major pre-event volume spike and rapid price move.
- This bettor has 1,271 resolved trades and is up $7.3M lifetime, with over $143M deployed.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $57.9K on FURIA.
- FURIA moved up 12 points in under 3 minutes during a 60x pre-event volume spike.
$13,527 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable new whale cluster
Very new but already highly profitable wallet is buying Spirit alongside broad one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 1-day-old bettor is already up $56K and has won all 6 resolved bets so far.
- 11 wallets are all buying Spirit, totaling $28K on the same side.
- Volume is running 107x above normal before the match, suggesting strong coordinated interest.
$5,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — FURIA, $158,199 (57% win rate)
- 0x3b4c...e850 — Spirit, $104,023
- 0xc350...3669 — Spirit, $63,953 (63% win rate)
- 0xe557...9597 — Spirit, $59,000
- 0x88d1...18da — FURIA, $50,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — FURIA, $48,262 (63% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — Spirit, $39,825 (73% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — FURIA, $38,000 (58% win rate)
- 0xd703...71bf — Spirit, $30,400
- 0x1341...0853 — FURIA, $30,000 (86% win rate)
