Event

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

42 signals across 4 markets · $216,122 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026

FURIA vs Spirit is a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match in the PGL Astana Group Stage, with prediction-market traders pricing which team will win the series. PolySpotter tracks the Polymarket odds for the event, including smart money activity such as a signal from a 93% win-rate esports bettor.

Markets (4)

  1. Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage30 signals · $175,110 tracked
  2. Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner10 signals · $37,579 tracked
  3. Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner1 signal · $2,264 tracked
  4. Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)1 signal · $1,169 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp-backed Spirit cluster

    Surface because a 12-wallet Spirit cluster includes a proven 83% bettor, a highly profitable 1-day-old repeat whale, and a major pre-event volume spike despite some opposing FURIA flow.

    $29,582Score: 26.1
  2. 93% winner on Spirit

    Elite 93% winning bettor bought Spirit before a large one-sided move, and the position is already up sharply from 58¢ to 72¢.

    $7,500Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 16.6
  3. 93% winner joins FURIA flow

    Elite profitable esports bettor with a 93% record is buying FURIA alongside one-sided flow from 7 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.

    $7,069Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 16.2
  4. Profitable new whale cluster

    Very new but already highly profitable wallet is buying Spirit alongside broad one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

    $5,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 15.8
  5. Sharp bettor joins Spirit flow

    Sharp profitable esports bettor bought Spirit alongside 11-wallet same-direction flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

    $2,062Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 15.8
  6. 87% winner backs Spirit

    Sharp wallet with an 87% record and nearly $500k lifetime profit made a $13.3k buy on Spirit at 60¢.

    $13,333Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 14.9
  7. Profitable whale backs FURIA

    Three wallets bought $20.9k of FURIA ahead of the match, led by a highly profitable high-volume trader and accompanied by a sharp price move from 47–57¢ to 64¢.

    $20,877Score: 12.3
  8. Sharp bettor joins 7-wallet FURIA push

    Sharp 85% winner is buying FURIA alongside a 7-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

    $1,934Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 12.2
  9. Profitable serial trader

    Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought FURIA as the price moved sharply upward, making this a modest but followable momentum/track-record signal.

    $2,200Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 11.8
  10. Five-wallet FURIA steam move

    Coordinated one-sided flow into FURIA, backed by a 60x volume spike and fast price move, makes this worth surfacing despite the individual trade being modest.

    $1,965Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 11.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xc350493669$18,751 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
  2. 0xa5ea13d96a$13,527 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
  3. 0xf07020ac55$13,333 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  4. 0xa803c72949$13,233 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 84% wins
  5. 0xcf609da6f5$11,250 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 79% wins
  6. 0xa69d0c509b$10,310 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 59% wins
  7. 0x690248b4ca$7,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  8. 0x0dcf5bc556$7,069 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  9. 0x3cf5d78483$7,057 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
  10. 0x67bb64b6ef$6,400 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 61% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the FURIA vs Spirit odds on Polymarket?

The FURIA vs Spirit prediction market reflects the market-implied chances of each team winning the BO3 match. On PolySpotter, you can track the latest odds and how pricing changes as traders buy or sell each outcome.

What outcomes are being traded for FURIA vs Spirit?

This event covers the match winner: FURIA or Spirit. The market resolves to the team that wins the best-of-three series in the PGL Astana Group Stage.

Is smart money betting on FURIA vs Spirit?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,500 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent signal from an esports bettor with a 93% win rate. These signals can help show where high-performing traders are taking positions.

When does the FURIA vs Spirit market resolve?

The market is scheduled around the PGL Astana Group Stage match and is expected to resolve after a winner is determined. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, it may resolve according to Polymarket’s stated 50-50 fallback.

Where can I follow FURIA vs Spirit prediction market movement?

You can use PolySpotter to monitor FURIA vs Spirit Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and notable trader activity as the match approaches and during market movement.