Part of: Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $934,780.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Ligue 1

Notable Trades

92% win-rate serial timer

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 92% win rate bought No just 30 seconds before resolution and the market immediately moved sharply in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up about $697k across 86 resolved positions.
  • They bought No 30 seconds before resolution at 22¢, and the market is already at 11¢.
  • This wallet has traded 185 markets across 176 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$1,446 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Last-second sports whale

A repeat large bettor put nearly $100k on Marseille 30 seconds before resolution at 79¢, and the market jumped to 89% on a massive volume spike.

  • Placed nearly $100k with 30 seconds left, a strong sign of conviction in a live match market
  • Bought at 79¢ and the market moved to 89¢ right after, locking in a fast 10-point move
  • This wallet has been flagged 68 times before, suggesting a repeat pattern rather than a one-off bet

$99,698 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable last-second sports bet

A highly profitable high-volume sports trader bought No with $36.5k just 30 seconds before resolution into a huge late volume spike, and the market moved sharply in their favor immediately after.

  • This wallet is up $1.05M lifetime, so this is a bettor with real staying power despite a low raw win rate.
  • They bought No with $36.5k just 30 seconds before resolution, a strong sign of confidence in live information.
  • The market saw a 545x volume spike, and their 22¢ entry is now 11¢, showing the move was quickly validated.

$36,525 on No | Wallet win rate: 39%

High-volume sharp sports bettor

A very active sports trader with a 79% win rate bought Marseille at 78¢ ahead of a major volume surge, and the market has already moved to 89¢.

  • This bettor has won 79% of nearly 3,000 resolved trades across 268 markets and 157 events.
  • They bought Yes at 78¢ and the market is now 89¢, so the trade is already up about 11 points.
  • Market volume exploded 545x versus its normal pace, showing strong money flowing into this match.

$14,988 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

6-wallet funded cluster

A linked 6-wallet cluster is active around this match, and this wallet belongs to a very experienced cross-market trader with nearly 2,900 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L.

  • Six linked wallets funded by the same address have put $7.2k behind this market
  • This wallet has 2,898 resolved bets, wins 62% of the time, and is up $17.9k lifetime
  • The trade followed a huge pre-match surge, with market volume running 708x above its normal level

$1,195 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%

6-wallet funded cluster

Surface this because a profitable high-volume sports trader from a 6-wallet funded cluster bought into a massive pre-match volume surge, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the modest single-ticket size.

  • This wallet has made 4,618 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up about $120k overall.
  • Six wallets funded by the same source have put about $7.2k on this market, showing coordinated conviction.
  • The trade joined a huge pre-match surge with volume running 708x above normal, and it bought Yes at 78¢.

$1,195 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

92% winner late No cluster

A linked 3-wallet cluster piled $40k into No just before resolution, led by a bettor with a 92% win rate and strong cross-market history, making this a high-conviction live sports signal.

  • A bettor who wins 92% of their trades and is up about $697k joined this No bet seconds before resolution.
  • Three wallets put $40k on the same side, and six wallets in the wider group share the same funder.
  • They bought No at 22¢ right before the match settled, implying they saw Marseille's win chance as far lower than the market price.

$40,171 on No

Late live-sports whale

A recently created but heavily active wallet put $389k into Marseille Yes in the final 6 minutes before resolution during an extreme volume spike, showing unusually strong live-sports conviction.

  • This wallet slammed $389k into Marseille Yes in 4 buys, including nearly $240k in the final 2 minutes.
  • The bets landed just 30 seconds before resolution, a strong live-trading timing signal on a sports market.
  • Market volume ran 826x above normal, suggesting concentrated informed action rather than routine flow.

$389,371 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Late live-sports whale

A recently created but repeatedly active wallet put $339k into Marseille Yes in the final 15 minutes, including two buys under 2 minutes before resolution, during an extreme volume spike on a live sports market.

  • This wallet slammed $339k into Marseille Yes across 4 buys, with $220k placed in the final 2 minutes.
  • The market saw a 499x volume spike, suggesting a burst of informed live-game positioning rather than routine flow.
  • The bettor is already up about $401k overall, though the 67% hit rate is only a modest track record so far.

$339,365 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Late sports bettor into spike

A profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Marseille Yes five minutes before resolution during an extreme market-wide volume spike, suggesting late information or sharp live trading.

  • This bettor has 207 settled trades and is up $6.2k, so this is not a random one-off bet
  • Bought Yes with 4.9 minutes left as market volume exploded to 499x normal
  • Entry at 79¢ was near the current 78¢ market, showing a late high-confidence live sports bet

$1,491 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 49491861, $125,000 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 49491861, $22,424 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xc974...b33b Outcome 49491861, $10,584 (86% win rate)
  4. 0x2e01...0875 Outcome 49491861, $9,298 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xd577...2bb7 Outcome 49491861, $7,131 (94% win rate)
  6. 0xc6b1...78fd Outcome 49491861, $6,573 (93% win rate)
  7. 0x8f0b...eb6d Outcome 49491861, $5,136 (44% win rate)
  8. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 49491861, $5,022 (64% win rate)
  9. 0x88f9...325d Outcome 49491861, $4,136 (87% win rate)
  10. 0x1333...173b Outcome 49491861, $3,489 (18% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

ResolvedOlympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz$934,780 tracked12 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLigue 1

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 10, 2026 If Olympique de Marseille wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$1,446 on No at 22¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$99,698 on Yes at 79¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$36,525 on No at 22¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$14,988 on Yes at 78¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$1,195 on Yes at 78¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$1,195 on Yes at 78¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$40,171 on No at 22¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$389,371 on Yes at 79¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$339,365 on Yes at 79¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$1,491 on Yes at 79¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

32d ago

$7,360 on Yes at 79¢

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?

33d ago

$1,975 on Yes at 79¢

Related Theses