Cross-Market Thesis

“Both Lula and Bolsonaro win”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $8,443 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $4,543 @ 82¢
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $3,900 @ 39¢
Both Lula and Bolsonaro win — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter