Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 5 - May 12, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
This Polymarket market predicts whether Elon Musk will make 140 to 159 qualifying X posts between May 5 at 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves on May 12, 2026, based on counted main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless captured as main feed replies by the tracker. PolySpotter is tracking $4,208 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including a profitable wallet buying Yes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 5 12:00 PM ET to May 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,208.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet buying Yes
New repeat whale with early profitability is adding $4.2k to Yes on an in-progress Elon tweet-count range as the market has moved strongly upward.
- This new wallet is already up $9.1k and has been flagged 4 times for large bets.
- They bought $4.2k of Yes, including at 33¢ before the market moved to about 40¢.
- The market is already up 33 points this week, matching the direction of their bet.
$4,208 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $219,967
- 0xce1e...851f — Yes, $50,000
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $8,575 (23% win rate)
- 0xa59c...bb62 — Yes, $8,000
- 0x4067...6ffa — Yes, $7,560
- 0x0888...e6e3 — Yes, $6,000
- 0x2061...8ec9 — No, $5,555 (36% win rate)
- 0x5359...6b35 — Yes, $5,401
- 0x0dcb...a7b4 — Yes, $4,585 (50% win rate)
