Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will reach $90,000 on Binance BTC/USDT before the end of December 31, 2026 ET. It resolves Yes if any 1-minute Binance candle records a High price of $90,000 or more; otherwise it resolves No after the deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $2,685 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent BTC ladder trader and bearish target alerts.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,230.
Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto
Notable Trades
Profitable BTC ladder whale
A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broader BTC price-ladder thesis across 5 related markets, with this trade equivalent to buying No at 36¢.
- This wallet is up about $811k lifetime and has traded over $35M on Polymarket.
- The trade is part of a $186k position across 5 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader price-range thesis.
- Selling Yes at 64¢ is equivalent to buying No at 36¢ against Bitcoin reaching $90k by Dec. 31, 2026.
$1,411 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
93% winning BTC bettor
Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is adding a BTC milestone position across related markets.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $60,726 lifetime.
- They have put $16,598 across 2 related Bitcoin milestone markets, suggesting a broader BTC thesis.
- Entry at 67¢ leaves upside if their view on Bitcoin reaching $90k by end-2026 is right.
$2,685 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable BTC ladder trader
Profitable high-volume wallet is taking a contrarian No position as part of a larger cross-market Bitcoin thesis.
- This high-volume wallet is up $815K lifetime across 1,343 resolved bets.
- They have built a $191K cross-market Bitcoin position across 5 related markets.
- Selling Yes at 73¢ is equivalent to buying No at 27¢ against the market favorite.
$6,686 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
93% crypto thesis bettor
Surfaced because the wallet has a very strong 93% resolved win rate and is adding a cross-market Bitcoin thesis despite the signal being mainly correlated positioning.
- This bettor has won 43 of 46 resolved bets and is up about $60.7K lifetime.
- They are building a Bitcoin thesis across multiple related markets, with $6.1K in this event and prior cross-market activity.
- Entry at 73¢ suggests a confident bet that Bitcoin touches $90K before the end of 2026.
$2,190 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable BTC thesis trader
A very profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad Bitcoin upside thesis across five related markets, buying Yes on the $90k-by-2026 target at 70¢.
- This bettor is up $847K lifetime across more than $34M traded, despite only winning about half their resolved bets.
- They are positioned across 5 related Bitcoin markets with $186K in total exposure, suggesting a broad crypto upside thesis.
- This buy entered at 70¢ while the market is now around 72¢, with recent odds up 6.5 points over the past day.
$1,085 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable BTC ladder trader
A very profitable high-volume crypto trader is adding to a broad Bitcoin price-target thesis across five related markets, despite only average hit rate.
- This wallet is up $847K lifetime across $34.6M traded, making its Bitcoin positioning worth watching.
- The bettor has built a $187K cross-market thesis across 5 related Bitcoin markets.
- Buying Yes at 68¢ suggests they see Bitcoin reaching $90K before the end of 2026 as more likely than the market implies.
$2,223 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable BTC thesis wallet
A very high-volume profitable wallet with $846k lifetime profit is buying Yes as part of a 5-market Bitcoin threshold thesis, despite only a modest 50% raw win rate.
- This wallet is up $846K lifetime across more than $34M traded, making its BTC positioning worth tracking.
- The bettor has built a 5-market Bitcoin thesis totaling $188K across related markets.
- Entry at 69¢ suggests they see Bitcoin touching $90K by end-2026 as materially underpriced.
$1,415 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable BTC cross-market whale
Large profitable wallet is extending a five-market Bitcoin thesis with $187k total cross-market exposure despite only an average hit rate.
- This bettor is up about $846k lifetime across more than $34M traded.
- They are positioned across 5 related Bitcoin markets with about $187k total exposure.
- This buy adds to a clear Bitcoin-upside thesis, entering Yes at 69¢ with the market already trending higher this week.
$1,999 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable BTC ladder bettor
Large profitable crypto bettor is extending a cross-market Bitcoin ladder thesis across five related markets, though the historical win rate is only around break-even.
- This wallet is up about $847K lifetime across $34.6M traded, despite winning only 50% of resolved bets.
- They have built a $188.6K position across 5 related Bitcoin price markets, suggesting a broader bullish BTC thesis.
- Buying Yes at 70¢ implies they see Bitcoin reaching $90K by end-2026 as underpriced.
$3,326 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable whale betting BTC ladder
Profitable high-volume wallet is building a cross-market Bitcoin thesis, with $184K across 5 related markets and this buy aligned with recent BTC momentum.
- This wallet is up about $853K lifetime across more than $34M traded.
- They have $184K positioned across 5 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader crypto thesis.
- Buying Yes at 69¢ follows strong momentum, with this market up 14 points over the past week.
$1,253 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Top Holders
- 0x3eba...849a — Yes, $60,619 (93% win rate)
- 0x6131...fd16 — No, $31,205 (50% win rate)
- 0xd2e8...eeea — No, $30,003 (83% win rate)
- 0xfa03...8916 — No, $16,998 (43% win rate)
- 0xacca...08b1 — Yes, $16,000
- 0x32b6...2f9f — No, $14,364
- 0xf705...3ca7 — Yes, $13,832 (50% win rate)
- 0x71ed...d338 — Yes, $13,818 (83% win rate)
- 0x3fe4...c29e — No, $13,355
- 0x2760...03f3 — Yes, $12,820 (67% win rate)
Related Theses
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Covers 5 related markets
