Cross-Market Thesis

“Bolsonaro or Lula wins Brazil”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?, Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,265 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xbace575% win rate

Total

$6,265

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $3,188 @ 75¢
  2. 2Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $3,077 @ 64¢
Bolsonaro or Lula wins Brazil — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter