Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek

Osaka vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

This prediction market covers whether Naomi Osaka vs. Iga Swiatek at the 2026 Internazionali BNL d'Italia will have 9 or more completed games in the first set. It resolves to Over if the first set reaches at least 9 total games, and Under if it ends with 8 or fewer; a tiebreak counts as one game. PolySpotter is tracking $1,954 in smart money and 1 recent signal for this tennis prop, with resolution expected by May 18, 2026.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,954.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor in thin prop

A highly profitable high-volume wallet bought Under in a very thin tennis prop, with the trade dwarfing recent market volume.

  • This high-volume bettor is up $446k lifetime across $17.8M traded.
  • They bought $1,954 of Under at 33¢ in a market with only about $1.2k liquidity.
  • The trade was flagged as roughly 8.7x recent 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.

$1,954 on Under | Wallet win rate: 44%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb5a4...5780 — Outcome 13581806, $5,931 (76% win rate)
  2. 0xdd8e...f023 — Outcome 13581806, $573 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xbaa5...a51a — Outcome 13581806, $219 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x711d...4c8f — Outcome 13581806, $10
  5. 0x3400...3d25 — Outcome 13581806, $7
  6. 0x7629...226c — Outcome 13581806, $5
  7. 0xab12...3a2d — Outcome 13581806, $5

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Osaka vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

5dInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek$1,954 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Iga Swiatek in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Price History — “Under”
102¢
67¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Osaka vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

1d ago

$1,954 on Under at 33¢

Related Theses

Lakers upset Thunder tonight
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