This bettor has won 91% of 149 resolved trades across many similar events. They put $7.6k on Down about 23 minutes before resolution. Entry around 88¢ suggests a high-confidence near-expiry position, not a long-shot swing.

Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,865.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Today 🚀, Up or Down, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution trader with large lifetime profit flipped into Down minutes before expiry while the market moved sharply lower.

This bettor is up $365K lifetime and has made 82 near-resolution bets across 28 markets.
They bought $9.1K of Down in the final 8 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern that often reflects a real-time edge.
The market moved hard toward Down in the same window, with a 39-point rapid price swing.

$9,067 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution trader with $365k lifetime profit flipped into Down minutes before close and the market quickly moved from ~82¢ to 95¢.

This bettor has a long record of last-minute trades and is up $365k lifetime.
They bought $5.3k of Down about 6 minutes before resolution at an average near 82¢.
The price has already jumped to 95¢, so most of the easy copy-trade value may be gone.

$5,260 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%

91% serial timer

Surfaceable because a 91% serial cross-market bettor is adding $7.6k to Down within 24 minutes of resolution, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative and the odds are already high.

This bettor has won 91% of 149 resolved trades across many similar events.
They put $7.6k on Down about 23 minutes before resolution.
Entry around 88¢ suggests a high-confidence near-expiry position, not a long-shot swing.

$7,599 on Down | Wallet win rate: 91%

Proven BTC direction bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with 1,083 resolved bets is effectively buying Up by selling Down, despite only a modest win-rate signal.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $82K lifetime.
They are effectively moving against Down at 73¢, which converts to buying Up at 27¢.
The wallet has a large sample of 1,083 resolved bets, so the track record is more meaningful than a one-off signal.

$2,583 on Up | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable 79% BTC bettor

Surface because this is a proven profitable wallet with 1,082 resolved bets buying Down despite only a modest standalone signal.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $82.5K lifetime.
They have a large 1,082-bet track record, so the $2.7K Down buy is worth following.
Bought Down at 76¢ after Up fell 24.5 points today, aligning with strong market momentum.

$2,689 on Down | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial BTC trader

Serial cross-market BTC trader with a large profitable history bought Down amid a major volume spike and sharp move toward Down.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,455 resolved bets, 60% wins, and about $400K in profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 43 events with $569K flagged in related activity.
Market volume is running 27.5x above normal while odds have moved strongly toward Down.

$1,756 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Down during a major pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved against the entry.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,455 resolved bets, 60% wins, and about $400K in profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 43 events and have put over $564K into similar event-linked positions.
Market volume spiked 41x above its historical average before this bet, suggesting unusual attention on this outcome.

$1,792 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly active profitable cross-market trader bought Up amid a large volume spike and strong recent price move.

This bettor is up about $400K lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved bets.
They have traded 43 related events and 69 markets, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
Market volume is spiking 44x above normal while Up has already moved 26.5 points in the last day.

$1,632 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial crypto trader

Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Up on BTC despite the market now trading below their 80¢ entry.

This bettor has a long record: 1,455 resolved trades, 60% wins, and about $400K in profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 43 events and over $556K in flagged activity.
They bought Up at 80¢ after a sharp 26.5-point daily move, showing conviction despite the current price slipping to 76¢.

$1,692 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial BTC trader

Experienced high-volume cross-market trader with strong lifetime profit bought Down into a major BTC volume spike, though the entry is already worse than current market.

This trader has a long record: 1,455 resolved bets, 60% wins, and about $400K in profit.
They have traded 41 related events and $531K across 66 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market approach.
Market volume spiked 745x before the event, and this wallet chose Down despite the price already being high.

$1,656 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%