LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
This Polymarket tracks the LEC Regular Season League of Legends best-of-three match between GIANTX and Natus Vincere, scheduled for April 18. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, while a cancellation, tie, or delay of more than 7 days resolves 50-50. PolySpotter users can also monitor smart money activity here, with $32,629 tracked across 4 signals including recent NAVI-focused buying alerts.
This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 18 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against GIANTX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,505.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
10-wallet esports pile-in
A 10-wallet cluster piled into Natus Vincere with strong coordinated flow and several profitable wallets, helping drive the price from the 40s-70s up to 88¢ ahead of the match.
- 10 wallets bought the same side for $24.6k, a strong one-way flow signal in a single match market.
- Several wallets in the group are proven winners, including one bettor with an 80% win rate and about $908k profit.
- The earliest buys hit 47-57¢ and the market is now 88¢ after a 149x volume spike and a 42-point move.
$24,648 on Natus Vincere
New wallet esports cluster
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly made large bets and joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into GIANTX during a huge pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated conviction flow worth watching despite no proven track record yet.
- A 1-day-old wallet just put $5.2k on GIANTX and has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts totaling $25.9k
- Five wallets all bought GIANTX in the same window for $11.8k as market activity jumped nearly 149x above normal
- They entered at 46¢ while GIANTX now trades at 8¢, so this is a very aggressive underdog thesis rather than routine whale flow
$5,245 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 0%
Sharp bettor in 5-wallet cluster
A proven sharp bettor with an 88% win rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into GIANTX, but the fill at 50¢ versus current 8¢ suggests the market has moved sharply against that entry.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 1,178 bets and is up about $173k lifetime
- Five wallets all bought GIANTX in the same window, totaling about $11.8k, alongside a 149x volume spike
- This entry was 50¢, but GIANTX now trades around 8¢, so only follow at much lower prices
$985 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 88%
5-wallet dogpile on underdog
Coordinated buying from 5 wallets hit GIANTX before a huge pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is a seasoned cross-market trader despite the bet moving sharply against them since entry.
- 5 wallets all bought GIANTX together for $11.8k, which is a strong one-sided signal.
- This wallet is an active event trader with 559 resolved bets and $149k profit overall.
- The trader paid 44¢ for GIANTX while the market is now 8¢, showing this was a high-conviction underdog bet rather than routine flow.
$1,751 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 56%
7-wallet NAVI pile-in
A very new wallet joined a 7-wallet one-sided surge into Natus Vincere during a huge pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the small single-wallet sample.
- Seven wallets all bought Natus Vincere, putting $16.4k behind the same side
- This wallet is less than 7 hours old and has already made multiple sizable bets, with $2.8k flagged so far
- Market activity jumped about 203x versus normal, and this buy at 70¢ is already marked up to 75¢
$1,699 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 50%
Sharp bettor joins surge
A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 80% win rate reopened a Natus Vincere position during a major one-sided buying wave that already pushed the price from 60¢ to 75¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,451 resolved trades and is up about $908k lifetime.
- Seven wallets all bought Natus Vincere, with about $16.4k total hitting the same side.
- This wallet re-entered at 60¢ and the market moved to 75¢ after the buy, confirming strong momentum.
$1,247 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 80%
96% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $1.9M in profit is taking GIANTX at roughly even odds, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $1.9M lifetime.
- They have done this across 363 resolved positions and 389 markets, so this is not a one-off hot streak.
- Buying GIANTX at 51¢ means they see value in a near coin-flip price.
$1,048 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 96%
94% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate and strong historical edge made a fresh $4.5k buy on GIANTX at near-even odds, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $174k across 77 resolved positions.
- They bought $4.5k of GIANTX at 52¢, close to a coin-flip price where a strong picker may have real edge.
- The market is reasonably active and liquid, so this looks like a deliberate position rather than noise in a thin book.
$4,539 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp esports bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a 94% win rate and strong historical edge just took more than half of this market’s recent volume on GIANTX in a relatively thin match market.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $174k across 77 resolved bets
- They bought GIANTX at 52¢, a price that suggests they see the favorite as undervalued
- This $1.3k bet made up 54.5% of recent volume in a thinner market, showing real conviction
$1,343 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x3ef4...4f5e — Natus Vincere, $54,292
- 0x1c8c...dc9e — Natus Vincere, $22,761 (41% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Natus Vincere, $19,666 (84% win rate)
- 0x8c10...1e70 — GIANTX, $15,520
- 0xa16a...33a1 — Natus Vincere, $15,052 (100% win rate)
- 0x0a63...fc03 — GIANTX, $14,386 (77% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — GIANTX, $12,769 (50% win rate)
- 0xba38...e406 — GIANTX, $11,685 (53% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — GIANTX, $11,468 (48% win rate)
- 0x01e6...e7e0 — Natus Vincere, $11,459 (41% win rate)
