Part of: Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether the U.S. federal government will formally charge or announce a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor by December 31, 2026. Resolution is based primarily on official U.S. government sources, and PolySpotter currently tracks $1,920 in smart money activity with 1 signal on this market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will not be relevant for this market if Michael Saylor is no longer Chairman of Microstrategy at any point. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,920.

Categories: Bitcoin, Crypto, Saylor, Department of Justice, Politics, MicroStrategy

Notable Trades

86% winner bought early

A proven high-win-rate wallet bought Yes at 13¢ on a thin market before the price jumped sharply, making the weak low-activity signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets across 320 markets and is profitable lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 13¢ before the market moved to 37¢, suggesting strong timing.
  • The bet was 58% of recent volume in a thin, wide-spread market.

$1,920 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x264c...baca — Yes, $7,920 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x88b0...b118 — No, $4,563 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x2e4d...f703 — No, $3,000
  4. 0x346b...d70f — Yes, $2,562
  5. 0xcaab...24dd — No, $2,532 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x8b88...5f5e — No, $2,304 (83% win rate)
  7. 0x9ad0...bf3d — Yes, $1,165 (68% win rate)
  8. 0xd5e3...e379 — No, $1,000
  9. 0x75b8...fcb9 — Yes, $753
  10. 0x4930...82ab — Yes, $372

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Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

162dMichael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?$1,920 tracked1 signalBitcoinCryptoSaylorDepartment of JusticePoliticsMicroStrategy
Yes
7¢
No
93¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will not be relevant for this market if Michael Saylor is no longer Chairman of Microstrategy at any point. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “No”
95¢
93¢
91¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

19d ago

$1,920 on Yes at 13¢

13¢→7¢↓6¢

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