MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
This Polymarket asks whether MegaETH's token will reach a fully diluted valuation above $800 million exactly 24 hours after launch. The market resolves to Yes if the most liquid price source implies an FDV over $800 million at that point, and to No otherwise. If MegaETH does not launch a token by late June 2026, the market resolves under the listed market rules before the July 1, 2026 resolution time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,263.
Categories: Airdrops, Featured, Crypto, MegaETH, Pre-Market, fdv
Notable Trades
Repeat new-wallet whale
A very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just put $3.2k into the same bearish MegaETH thesis across related markets, suggesting real conviction despite no track record yet.
- This wallet is under 4 days old but has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts totaling $10.6k
- It just put $3.2k into the bearish MegaETH view across 2 related markets, showing concentrated conviction
- One entry was at 66¢ and the market is now 48¢, so this trader already caught a strong move
$3,170 on No
81% win-rate event trader
A profitable wallet with an 81% win rate is making a fresh cross-market thesis bet on MegaETH at 56¢, suggesting informed conviction across this token launch event.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up $34k overall
- They have put $15.2k across 3 related MegaETH markets, pointing to a broader event thesis
- They bought Yes at 56¢ in a market with decent liquidity, implying they still see upside after a 22% weekly move
$3,086 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
81% win-rate thesis bettor
A profitable wallet with an 81% win rate is building a consistent thesis across three related MegaETH markets, adding a meaningful $5k Yes bet into a market already trending up.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up nearly $34k lifetime
- They have put $11.6k across 3 related MegaETH markets, showing a clear event-wide view
- Bought Yes at 56¢ while this market is up 8 points in a day and 23 points in a week
$5,008 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xeb67...d696 — Yes, $58,962 (81% win rate)
- 0x05ab...8145 — No, $15,379 (45% win rate)
- 0xac9b...d4c5 — No, $11,421 (35% win rate)
- 0x5b87...0432 — No, $9,548
- 0x3a91...ac8f — Yes, $8,959
- 0x8bc3...73d1 — Yes, $8,178
- 0xde28...a563 — No, $6,564
- 0xb562...f7e3 — No, $6,050
- 0x1711...78ec — No, $5,494 (35% win rate)
- 0xe650...1450 — No, $3,578 (0% win rate)
