Part of: UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $212,570.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into Islam

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Islam Makhachev position at 74%.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 196 resolved positions and is up $468,221 lifetime.
  • They are adding $9,165 to an existing Islam Makhachev position, bringing total investment to over $21,500.
  • The 74¢ entry reflects a strong conviction bet in a liquid UFC market, backed by a 31-point edge over implied odds historically.

$14,640 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 83%

Proven sharp scaling into Islam

A proven sharp bettor with 76% wins and a substantial edge is adding to an existing Islam Makhachev position at 74%.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 156 resolved trades and is up $75,962 lifetime.
  • Their results significantly exceed the average prices paid, with 54% average odds versus a 76% win rate.
  • They are adding $1,333 to an existing Islam Makhachev position at 74%, signaling continued conviction.

$1,333 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 69%

87% winner scaling into Makhachev

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 87% win rate is adding to an existing Islam Makhachev position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 528 of 606 resolved trades, earning about $100,680 on $1.48 million invested.
  • They are adding $2,772 to an existing Makhachev position at 74¢, signaling continued conviction despite the market sitting near 74%.
  • Trading across 65 markets and 47 events, this serial bettor entered during a 177.8× historical volume spike.

$2,772 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp bettor scaling into Islam

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Islam Makhachev position at 74%.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 196 resolved positions and is up $468,221 lifetime.
  • They are adding $9,165 to an existing Islam Makhachev position, bringing total investment to over $21,500.
  • The 74¢ entry reflects a strong conviction bet in a liquid UFC market, backed by a 31-point edge over implied odds historically.

$9,165 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 83%

Proven bettor scales into Makhachev

A highly experienced trader with a 74% win rate and nearly $800K profit added $111K to an existing Makhachev position during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 339 resolved trades and is up $796K lifetime.
  • They added $111,554 to an existing Makhachev position at 74¢, showing continued conviction rather than profit-taking.
  • The market saw a 20.7× historical volume spike, while Makhachev remains the favored outcome at 74%.

$111,554 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 74%

93% winner adds to Makhachev

A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate is adding $8,876 to an existing Islam Makhachev position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 193 of 207 resolved trades, with $221,786 in reported profit.
  • The wallet is increasing an existing Makhachev position with an $8,876 purchase at 74¢.
  • Market volume is running 16.5 times its historical average, adding support to the fresh positioning.

$8,876 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 93%

94% winner exits Ian position

A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is reducing an existing Ian Machado Garry position, implying a move toward Islam Makhachev despite the market’s already strong favorite pricing.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 67 resolved positions and is up $71,114 lifetime.
  • The trade reduces an existing $11,681 Ian Machado Garry position, signaling less confidence in the underdog.
  • The equivalent position is buying Islam Makhachev around 74¢, near the current market ask.

$2,237 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 92%

Serial sharp backs Makhachev

A highly experienced trader with an 82% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge bought the 74% favorite during a major volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 305 resolved trades and is up $93,817.
  • Their results imply a strong edge: 82% wins versus 61% average entry odds.
  • The $1,480 purchase coincided with a 15.7x historical volume spike, despite the market already being highly liquid.

$1,480 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 81%

99% win-rate serial bettor

An exceptionally proven bettor with 1,862 resolved positions and a 99% win rate is making a fresh $4,500 bet on Makhachev.

  • This bettor has won 99% of 1,862 resolved positions and is up $17.2 million.
  • The wallet is placing $4,500 on Islam Makhachev at 75%, matching the market’s current price.
  • Its 992-event cross-market history suggests this is part of a broad, highly experienced trading strategy.

$4,500 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable serial trader buys Makhachev

A highly experienced serial trader with a profitable 77% win rate bought Makhachev amid a 62x volume spike, providing meaningful corroboration despite the already-liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 511 resolved trades and is up $593,733 lifetime.
  • They committed $8,365 to Makhachev at 75¢ while market activity surged to 62 times its historical average.
  • The trade aligns with the current 76% market price, but the trader’s long record suggests the position is more than ordinary favorite-buying.

$8,365 on Islam Makhachev | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 80394510, $1,134,679 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xdb75...0252 Outcome 79701217, $250,000 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x9f2f...2ca8 Outcome 80394510, $231,995 (52% win rate)
  4. 0xb3f0...5c25 Outcome 80394510, $121,658
  5. 0x60cc...ff9b Outcome 80394510, $101,031 (30% win rate)
  6. 0x1136...0c2e Outcome 80394510, $83,748 (46% win rate)
  7. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 80394510, $74,074 (85% win rate)
  8. 0x8b32...5950 Outcome 80394510, $64,019 (44% win rate)
  9. 0x3b6d...f95b Outcome 80394510, $62,649 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xfb13...37cd Outcome 80394510, $59,113 (35% win rate)

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UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Islam Makhachev" if Islam Makhachev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Ian Machado Garry" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Islam Makhachev
78¢
75¢
72¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$14,640 on Islam Makhachev at 74¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$1,333 on Islam Makhachev at 74¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$2,772 on Islam Makhachev at 74¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$9,165 on Islam Makhachev at 74¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$111,554 on Islam Makhachev at 74¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

7d ago

$8,876 on Islam Makhachev at 74¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

8d ago

$2,237 on Islam Makhachev at 74¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

8d ago

$1,480 on Islam Makhachev at 74¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

8d ago

$4,500 on Islam Makhachev at 75¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

8d ago

$8,365 on Islam Makhachev at 75¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

10d ago

$1,797 on Islam Makhachev at 76¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

11d ago

$12,822 on Islam Makhachev at 76¢

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

11d ago

$33,030 on Islam Makhachev at 76¢

Related Theses