UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
18 signals across 4 markets · $575,766 tracked · resolves Aug 16, 2026
Follow Polymarket odds for the UFC 330 welterweight main-card fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry, with markets covering both fighters and 50-50 outcomes for a draw, No Contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement. PolySpotter is tracking $33,030 in smart money, including a recent whale scaling into Makhachev.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet No conviction cluster
Four wallets concentrated nearly $43,000 on No, including highly profitable bettors, while a 40x volume spike and thin liquidity amplify the directional signal.
$36,565Score: 6.5 - Sharp bettor scaling into Islam
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Islam Makhachev position at 74%.
$9,165Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into Islam
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Islam Makhachev position at 74%.
$14,640Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7 - 95% win-rate bettor backs Makhachev
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $1,797 purchase of Islam Makhachev at 76%.
$1,797Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.6 - 94% winner exits Ian position
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is reducing an existing Ian Machado Garry position, implying a move toward Islam Makhachev despite the market’s already strong favorite pricing.
$2,237Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.6 - 87% winner scaling into Makhachev
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 87% win rate is adding to an existing Islam Makhachev position amid a major volume spike.
$2,772Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 5.4 - 99% win-rate serial bettor
An exceptionally proven bettor with 1,862 resolved positions and a 99% win rate is making a fresh $4,500 bet on Makhachev.
$4,500Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4 - Serial sharp backs Makhachev
A highly experienced trader with an 82% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge bought the 74% favorite during a major volume surge.
$1,480Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9 - Proven sharp scaling into Islam
A proven sharp bettor with 76% wins and a substantial edge is adding to an existing Islam Makhachev position at 74%.
$1,333Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 4.9 - 87% winner adds to No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 87% win rate is adding nearly $2,000 to an existing No position at 47¢.
$1,919Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2f3c7c…6c2c$293,000 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x0979ba…8d9b$111,554 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x95612d…d255$33,030 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xca97f5…49f6$23,805 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x7bc141…8db4$22,237 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x502276…9b18$12,822 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xdc41c3…dd7e$9,475 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0xa8caf3…d535$8,876 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xe558bb…dcd2$8,365 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x51089c…29cb$4,691 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 55% wins
FAQs
What are the UFC 330 Makhachev vs Garry prediction-market odds?
Polymarket prices update as traders buy and sell shares on Islam Makhachev, Ian Machado Garry, or a 50-50 resolution. Check the live event page for the latest implied probabilities.
What is smart money betting on in the Makhachev vs Garry market?
PolySpotter has tracked $33,030 in smart money across this event. The latest alert reports a new whale scaling into Islam Makhachev.
Who is fighting at UFC 330?
The event covers the welterweight main-card matchup between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.
When does the Makhachev vs Garry prediction market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve after the official fight result, by August 16, 2026. A draw, technical draw, No Contest, canceled or unscored fight, or postponement beyond August 29, 2026 resolves to 50-50.