Part of: US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien
This prediction market covers the 2026 US Open ATP match between Karen Khachanov and Learner Tien, scheduled for September 7, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with the latest market odds and smart money activity reflecting trader expectations; $8,539 in smart money is currently tracked across one signal.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $215,840.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor doubles down on Tien
A proven 86% bettor with a 25-point edge over average odds added $13,000 to an existing Learner Tien position despite the market moving sharply against it.
- This bettor has won 86% of 35 resolved trades and is up $37,799 lifetime.
- They added $13,000 to an existing Learner Tien position at 73%, showing strong conviction despite current odds falling to 58%.
- The trade came amid a 12.7x volume spike and a sharp 15-point move in Tien's price.
$8,539 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp bettor doubles down on Tien
A proven 86% bettor with a 25-point edge over average odds added $13,000 to an existing Learner Tien position despite the market moving sharply against it.
- This bettor has won 86% of 35 resolved trades and is up $37,799 lifetime.
- They added $13,000 to an existing Learner Tien position at 73%, showing strong conviction despite current odds falling to 58%.
- The trade came amid a 12.7x volume spike and a sharp 15-point move in Tien's price.
$13,000 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 71%
New whale joins six-wallet Khachanov flow
A very new wallet repeatedly added roughly $53,000 to Karen Khachanov while five other wallets bought the same outcome amid an extreme volume surge.
- A wallet only 7 hours old made seven buys totaling about $53,000 on Karen Khachanov at 39–40¢.
- Six wallets bought Khachanov for roughly $65,000 combined, signaling unusually concentrated directional conviction.
- The market saw a 230x historical volume spike, though the wallet’s 1-0 resolved record is too small to establish a track record.
$38,993 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 74%
New whale joins six-wallet Khachanov flow
A very new wallet repeatedly added roughly $53,000 to Karen Khachanov while five other wallets bought the same outcome amid an extreme volume surge.
- A wallet only 7 hours old made seven buys totaling about $53,000 on Karen Khachanov at 39–40¢.
- Six wallets bought Khachanov for roughly $65,000 combined, signaling unusually concentrated directional conviction.
- The market saw a 230x historical volume spike, though the wallet’s 1-0 resolved record is too small to establish a track record.
$52,986 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 74%
Six-wallet Tien conviction cluster
Six wallets deployed $71,030 on Learner Tien, including highly profitable sharp bettors, while a 57x volume spike confirms unusually strong coordinated conviction.
- Six wallets bought Learner Tien for $71,030, including a bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.25M lifetime profit.
- Another participant wins 87% of bets at an average 58¢ entry and is up $209,630.
- The trades arrived during a 57x volume spike, with several wallets adding to existing Tien positions around 62–63¢.
$37,682 on Learner Tien
Highly profitable tennis bettor
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and $3.63 million in lifetime profit is buying Karen Khachanov at 37 cents.
- This bettor wins 89% of 2,693 resolved positions and is up $3.63 million lifetime.
- They are making a fresh $4,910 bet on Karen Khachanov at 37 cents despite the market pricing him near 36%.
- The wallet has traded across 1,710 markets and 1,428 events, providing unusually strong evidence of repeatable skill.
$4,910 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 89%
94% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $905K profit is taking a fresh position on Khachanov at 37%.
- This bettor has won 94% of 1,186 resolved positions and is up about $905,000.
- The wallet has traded across 236 events, making this a fresh position from an unusually experienced market participant.
- Khachanov was bought at 37%, despite the market pricing him as a 36% underdog, suggesting meaningful conviction at a liquid entry.
$2,148 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 94%
96% winner adds to Khachanov
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to a sizable Khachanov position alongside coordinated buying and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $264,303, with a 36-point edge over average entry odds.
- Three wallets bought $22,230 of Khachanov, including two traders adding to existing positions.
- The market saw a 40.5x volume spike, while Khachanov remains priced at only 36%.
$25,721 on Karen Khachanov
94% winner scaling into Learner Tien
A highly profitable 94% win-rate serial trader added $27,321 to Learner Tien amid an extreme volume spike, making this a strong directional signal.
- This bettor has won 94% of 174 resolved trades and is up $519,863 lifetime.
- They added $27,321 to an existing Learner Tien position, bringing total investment to roughly $77,000.
- The market saw an 885x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong activity around this match.
$27,321 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp serial bettor backs Tien
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is backing Learner Tien at 62%.
- This bettor wins 82% of 372 resolved trades and is up $1.08M lifetime.
- Their results show a 26-point edge over implied odds across 309 events and 359 markets.
- Learner Tien was bought at 62¢, implying this proven bettor sees meaningful value at the current price.
$2,290 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 22314169, $299,999 (88% win rate)
- 0x2cff...59db — Outcome 22314169, $225,067 (100% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 22314169, $82,052 (57% win rate)
- 0x2089...712e — Outcome 22314169, $54,688 (90% win rate)
- 0x979f...4032 — Outcome 22314169, $50,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x9913...5973 — Outcome 22314169, $39,496 (31% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 22314169, $27,239 (62% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 22314169, $13,000 (87% win rate)
- 0xa4ef...82b8 — Outcome 22314169, $7,000 (90% win rate)
- 0x604a...ea22 — Outcome 22314169, $6,932 (91% win rate)
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