Part of: Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,161.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets

Notable Trades

19-wallet funded No cluster

A large 19-wallet funded cluster is backing No with fresh capital, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite the lead wallet having only a moderate track record.

Nineteen wallets sharing one funder have positioned on No, totaling $1,769 across prior runs.
The lead bettor has a 64% win rate over 303 resolved trades and is up $42,193 lifetime.
No was bought at 88¢ and has since reached 100%, though the market currently offers little or no entry liquidity.

$1,769 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

82% win-rate serial trader

A highly experienced bettor with 907 resolved trades, an 82% win rate, and $258,382 in profit is buying No at the prevailing 86% price.

This bettor has won 82% of 907 resolved trades and is up $258,382 lifetime.
The wallet has traded across 64 markets and 55 events, indicating broad and sustained experience rather than a one-off wager.
The $1,068 No position matches the market's 86% consensus price while the market has seen $45,833 in 24-hour volume.

$1,323 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% win-rate serial trader

A highly experienced bettor with 907 resolved trades, an 82% win rate, and $258,382 in profit is buying No at the prevailing 86% price.

This bettor has won 82% of 907 resolved trades and is up $258,382 lifetime.
The wallet has traded across 64 markets and 55 events, indicating broad and sustained experience rather than a one-off wager.
The $1,068 No position matches the market's 86% consensus price while the market has seen $45,833 in 24-hour volume.

$1,068 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 72543701, $102,856
0x590e...e43d — Outcome 53486436, $8,359
0xf452...8ff9 — Outcome 53486436, $5,317
0x2ef2...7f72 — Outcome 53486436, $5,000 (45% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 53486436, $4,439
0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 53486436, $4,071
0xe559...1300 — Outcome 53486436, $2,986
0x0b46...ed67 — Outcome 53486436, $2,835
0x59a1...a8d1 — Outcome 53486436, $2,400
0xd3ce...b432 — Outcome 53486436, $2,392

Related Theses

Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?$4,161 tracked3 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No”

98¢

67¢

36¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction