Part of: France vs. England
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
This prediction market asks whether France will win its scheduled FIFA World Cup match on July 18, 2026, based only on the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves Yes if France wins in regulation, and No if France draws, loses, or the game is canceled without a make-up. PolySpotter is tracking $67,657 in smart money activity, including recent sharp and high-win-rate alerts adding Yes exposure.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 18, 2026 If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $307,363.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
81% winner adding size
A highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet with a huge cross-market history is adding a large Yes position at 51¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
- They added $67.7K at 51¢, bringing their open Yes position to about $133K.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with over $10.7M deployed across 551 events.
$67,657 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
83% winner adding Yes
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 83% record and strong cross-market history is adding to a France Yes position at even odds.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $76K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 65 events with the same 83% win rate.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position at 50¢, suggesting continued conviction.
$5,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
95% sharp adding Yes
A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet is adding a large $58k Yes bet to an existing France position at even odds.
- This bettor has won 95% of resolved bets and is up about $1.0M lifetime.
- They added $58k at 50¢ to an existing Yes position, bringing invested size on this market to roughly $174k.
- This is a serial cross-market bettor with activity across 49 events and a strong historical record.
$58,167 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
85% winner doubling down
Proven sports/cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate is adding to an existing France Yes position at even odds.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $287,934 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market record across 38 events, suggesting this is a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position, bringing visible conviction at a 50¢ entry.
$15,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable whale adding Yes
Profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding a large $150k France Yes position at 50¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up about $401k lifetime.
- They put another $150k on Yes at 50¢, bringing their open France position to about $301k.
- This wallet has traded across 25 events with $1.2M total volume, and this market just saw a 293x volume spike.
$150,330 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
95% winner adding Yes
A proven sports bettor with a 95% record is adding to France Yes alongside two other wallets, though the total size is modest for a liquid market.
- The strongest wallet wins 95% of resolved bets and is up about $24.9k lifetime.
- Three wallets all added to existing Yes positions at 50¢, showing continued conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 50¢ means the position pays roughly 2x if France wins in regulation.
$5,956 on Yes
Sharp bettor adding Yes
A high-performing sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate is building a meaningful Yes position at even-money odds.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $5.9k lifetime.
- They have built an $8.9k Yes position around 50¢, showing continued conviction.
- Entry at 50¢ implies a clean even-money copy with a tight 1¢ market spread.
$4,454 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xf031...c80c — No, $842,405 (90% win rate)
- 0xe549...2d54 — Yes, $500,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x7583...4df2 — No, $465,331 (86% win rate)
- 0x4924...3782 — Yes, $334,700 (51% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $328,671
- 0xd7ac...f764 — Yes, $300,660 (71% win rate)
- 0x37e0...024e — No, $295,475 (71% win rate)
- 0xec44...c92b — No, $242,220 (77% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Yes, $229,714 (54% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — No, $227,557 (58% win rate)
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