Part of: Belgium vs. IR Iran

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $156,011.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

10-wallet linked longshot buy

High-scoring coordinated Yes flow from 10 wallets, including a proven 85% bettor and a profitable new repeat wallet, though the market has since moved against their entries.

  • 10 wallets put $24.7k on the same Yes side, with some funding links between them.
  • One buyer wins 85% of their bets across 105 resolved markets and is up $6.7k lifetime.
  • A 7-day-old repeat wallet joined the move and is already up $6.9k, while current Yes odds are below their average entry.

$24,666 on Yes

Perfect-record sports bettor

A proven cross-market bettor with a 49-for-49 resolved record is buying Iran not to win, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 49 of 49 resolved trades and is up $13,774 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events with a perfect resolved record.
  • Buying No at 89¢ is a high-confidence favorite-side position backed by a strong track record.

$1,350 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% record and $205k lifetime profit placed a $25k No bet alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 314 resolved trades and is up $205k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 38 events, suggesting a repeat sports-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume nearly 20x its historical average before the game.

$25,037 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

75% winner buying longshot

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate bought $10k of Yes at 11¢, making the wallet track record the main reason to surface it.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime.
  • They have traded 468 markets across 411 events with $7.25M deployed.
  • Entry at 11¢ implies a high-upside longshot if their edge is right.

$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

9-wallet Yes cluster

High-scoring coordinated Yes flow: 9 wallets, including linked funders and profitable bettors, bought or synthetically bought Iran at roughly 19¢ amid a major volume spike and price move.

  • Nine wallets all took the same side, putting $23.7K on Iran to win.
  • Some trades entered as low as 9¢, and the market has already moved to 18¢ after a 40x volume spike.
  • The cluster includes profitable wallets, including one up $4.2M lifetime and another winning 75% of resolved bets.

$23,667 on Yes

Serial sports trader backs No

A seasoned cross-market sports trader with positive lifetime P&L bought nearly $30k of No amid a large pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has 306 resolved trades, wins 62% of them, and is up about $20k lifetime.
  • They put nearly $30k on No at 89¢, reinforcing the market’s heavy favorite side before the game.
  • Market volume is running 44x above its historical average, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$29,883 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

77% serial sports bettor

Proven profitable wallet with a 77% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a sports market alongside a notable pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $56,739 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 155 events, suggesting a repeat sports-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Bought No at 89¢ during a 29x pre-event volume spike.

$1,607 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Perfect-record sports bettor

A proven cross-market bettor with a 49-for-49 resolved record is buying Iran not to win, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 49 of 49 resolved trades and is up $13,774 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events with a perfect resolved record.
  • Buying No at 89¢ is a high-confidence favorite-side position backed by a strong track record.

$3,560 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

95% winner buying favorite

Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Iran No at 89¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $38K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 36 events with a strong 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying No at 89¢ aligns with the market favorite and implies confidence Iran does not win in regulation.

$1,326 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

97% win-rate sports grinder

A highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 97% resolved win rate bought $8.9k of No, supported by a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 1,936 resolved bets and is up $27k lifetime.
  • They bought $8.9k of No at 89¢, backing the heavy favorite side on a liquid soccer market.
  • Market activity is heating up with an 18x volume spike versus its historical average.

$8,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 77753095, $278,118
  2. 0x7c1e...bab3 Outcome 10725927, $219,999 (97% win rate)
  3. 0xcde3...534d Outcome 10725927, $160,404
  4. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 10725927, $97,540 (91% win rate)
  5. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 10725927, $90,909 (78% win rate)
  6. 0xaa07...2125 Outcome 10725927, $40,000 (52% win rate)
  7. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 10725927, $29,107 (64% win rate)
  8. 0xa38a...821d Outcome 10725927, $28,571 (56% win rate)
  9. 0x59f4...c1f1 Outcome 10725927, $26,626 (48% win rate)
  10. 0xa4fd...748b Outcome 10725927, $23,869 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

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Germany wins by six plus

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Aston Villa beats Liverpool

Covers 3 related markets

Iran keeps airspace open

Covers 3 related markets

US-Iran deal in late May

Covers 2 related markets

Spain wins comfortably

Covers 3 related markets

T1 starts, Hanwha wins

Covers 3 related markets

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

ResolvedBelgium vs. IR Iran$156,011 tracked13 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupGamesSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 21, 2026 If IR Iran wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
91¢
89¢
86¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

10d ago

$24,666 on Yes at 21¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

10d ago

$1,350 on No at 89¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

10d ago

$25,037 on No at 90¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

10d ago

$10,000 on Yes at 11¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

10d ago

$23,667 on Yes at 19¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

10d ago

$29,883 on No at 89¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

10d ago

$1,607 on No at 89¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

11d ago

$3,560 on No at 89¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

11d ago

$1,326 on No at 89¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

11d ago

$8,900 on No at 89¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

11d ago

$18,076 on No at 88¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

11d ago

$4,430 on No at 88¢

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

11d ago

$3,510 on No at 88¢

Related Theses