Part of: Spain vs. Austria
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
This prediction market asks whether Spain will win its scheduled July 2, 2026 match, resolving “Yes” only if Spain is ahead after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market is tied to the FIFA World Cup and resolves on July 2, 2026, with postponed games remaining open until played. PolySpotter is tracking $2,842 in smart money and 1 signal, including alerts from high win-rate sports bettors.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $82,824.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable 77% sports bettor
Surface due to the sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 77% record on 13 resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Spain Yes at 75¢.
- This bettor has won 10 of 13 resolved bets and is up about $6.5k lifetime.
- Their average winning entry was 59¢, suggesting they have found value before.
- They are buying Spain at 75¢ in a very liquid market, so this is a copy-trade signal from track record rather than bet size.
$2,842 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
90% winning sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Spain Yes at 75¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $12.8K lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 50¢ odds, suggesting real edge rather than just buying heavy favorites.
- Entry at 75¢ implies they still see value despite Spain already being favored.
$1,480 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
91% winner in funded cluster
A proven 91% winner from a 17-wallet funded cluster is buying Spain Yes, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $86k lifetime.
- They are part of a 17-wallet funded cluster that has appeared across prior runs.
- The same trader has bet across 47 events and 78 markets with $2.0M total volume.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
83% winner backing Spain
Surface despite the low composite score because this is a proven profitable bettor with an 83% record buying Spain Yes at 75¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $5.6K lifetime.
- Their average winning entry is 57¢, suggesting they have beaten market expectations before.
- They bought Spain at 75¢ in a very liquid market, so this is a track-record copy rather than a liquidity signal.
$2,478 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable new contrarian
A 10-day-old repeat bettor with early positive P&L is taking a contrarian No position against Spain, though the bet is modest in a very liquid market.
- This 10-day-old wallet is already up $2,147 across $57,375 invested.
- It has been flagged 6 times for sizable early bets, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off.
- Buying No at 25¢ is a contrarian bet against Spain winning in regular time.
$1,624 on No | Wallet win rate: 38%
85% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spain Yes at 75¢ despite a highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $87.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 55 events with $1.62M total volume.
- Entry at 75¢ suggests confidence Spain is still underpriced despite heavy market volume.
$3,052 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable 76% sports bettor
Surface because this is a proven profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 76% win rate adding a $10k Spain Yes position.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $49.7k lifetime.
- They have traded across 30 events with $270k in similar cross-market activity.
- A $10k entry at 75¢ shows conviction that Spain is underpriced despite a liquid market.
$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
85% winning sports bettor
Surfaced because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with an 85% record over 207 resolved bets, even though the trade size and market move are modest.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1,854 lifetime.
- Their results beat average entry odds by 16 percentage points across 207 bets.
- They bought Spain at 75¢, implying confidence despite a highly liquid market.
$1,058 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Hot new soccer bettor
A 2-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets bought Spain Yes during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This new wallet is already 4-for-4 and up $1,342 after only 2 days.
- They bought $3,619 of Spain Yes at 75¢, their fourth flagged large position in a short span.
- Market volume is running 117x above its historical average, suggesting broader pre-game positioning.
$3,619 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
97% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win record and positive P&L bought Spain Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 33 of 34 resolved bets and is up $6.2K lifetime.
- They bought Spain at 75¢, matching the current market price with a strong past record at similar odds.
- Market volume is surging, with activity running 117x above its historical average.
$1,750 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Yes, $150,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — No, $95,050
- 0x6d3c...d294 — No, $58,484 (50% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — No, $58,281 (59% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $43,143
- 0xbc1b...9d59 — Yes, $32,752 (100% win rate)
- 0x52ed...8db7 — No, $29,999 (50% win rate)
- 0xe872...819a — No, $28,800 (78% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Yes, $28,433 (41% win rate)
- 0x8b32...5950 — No, $26,599 (43% win rate)
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